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Millwall vs Norwich

Championship· Regular Season - 2
Millwall
3–0Full-time
Norwich
LWWWGoals 12-51st in league
LWLWGoals 18-1423rd in league
Home1W 0D 0L(3-0)
Away0W 0D 1L(0-3)
The Den

The Den, London · Capacity 20,146 · grass · Referee: Sam Allison

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'Tairyk Arconte
  2. 25'José Córdoba
  3. 37'H. Darling
  4. 40'Jenson Metcalfe
  5. 40'J. Metcalfe
  6. 58'Tairyk Arconte (J. Cooper)
  7. 60'K. Fisher (J. Stacey)
  8. 60'S. Field (P. Mattsson)
  9. 60'A. Slimane (Papa Amadou Diallo)
  10. 64'José Córdoba
  11. 64'José Córdoba
  12. 65'O. Schwartau (Ruairi McConville)
  13. 71'Tairyk Arconte (Zak Lovelace)
  14. 73'Andre Brooks (A. Musaba)
  15. 77'Jenson Metcalfe (D. Kelly)
  16. 78'Josh Coburn (Lyndon Dykes)
  17. 78'K. Lisbie (Luke Cundle)
  18. 78'J. Metcalfe (D. Kelly)
  19. 84'Luke Cundle (Camiel Neghli)
  20. 86'Casper De Norre (J. Osei-Tutu)

Lineups

Millwall

Coach: A. Neil

Bench (9)
Norwich

Coach: P. Clement

Bench (9)
MillwallNorwich
1.2
Goals/game
1.8
0.5
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Millwall win
38%
Draw
28%
Norwich win
34%
49.7%BTTS
44.3%Over 2.5
31.7%Millwall clean sheet
27.3%Norwich clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a tightly contested match between Millwall and Norwich, highlighted by their recent head-to-head encounters where outcomes have frequently been close. Millwall's slightly better form and home advantage might give them the edge, but Norwich could exploit their attacking prowess, making a draw a likely outcome.

  • Millwall unbeaten in last 5 home matches against Norwich
  • Norwich has lost their last match away
  • Millwall has a stronger recent form with a win in their last match compared to Norwich's loss
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
70/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Millwall

  • Higher league positionMillwall

    Millwall sit 22 places above Norwich in the table.

    #1 vs #23
  • Sharper attackNorwich

    Norwich are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Tighter defenseMillwall

    Millwall are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.5/game conceded
  • Historical edgeNorwich

    Norwich have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Millwall at 38% — final result was Millwall win, Millwall 3-0 Norwich.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Millwall ✓2.44market 41% · model 38%
Norwich2.84market 35.1% · model 34%
Draw3.31market 30.2% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Millwall have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Norwich have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Millwall wins
0Draws
5Norwich wins
11-14Goals
Millwall
1–2Apr 6, 2026, 12:00 PM
Norwich
Norwich
1–2Aug 9, 2025, 2:00 PM
Millwall
Millwall
3–1Apr 21, 2025, 2:00 PM
Norwich
Norwich
2–1Dec 26, 2024, 3:00 PM
Millwall
Millwall
1–0Dec 29, 2023, 7:45 PM
Norwich
Norwich
3–1Aug 20, 2023, 11:00 AM
Millwall
Millwall
2–3Mar 4, 2023, 3:00 PM
Norwich
Norwich
2–0Aug 19, 2022, 7:00 PM
Millwall

Odds comparison

Match winner

Millwall2.44▲best 2.58
Draw3.31▼best 3.40
Norwich2.84▼best 3.15

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.93▼best 2.01
Under 2.51.85▲best 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes1.71▼best 1.73
No2.04▲best 2.15

Double chance

Millwall/Draw1.40▲best 1.45
Millwall/Norwich1.30▲best 1.34
Draw/Norwich1.53▼best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.23best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.95best 3.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Millwall2.44▲ 0.26
Draw3.31
Norwich2.85▼ 0.30
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Millwall win-0.6pp
AI
38%
Market
38.6%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
28%
Market
28.4%
Norwich win+0.9pp
AI
34%
Market
33.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Millwall
2200+56WW
23
Norwich
2002-40LL

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.8
0.5Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Millwall

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Norwich

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
66.7%

Match statistics

52%Possession48%
2.61Expected goals (xG)1.12
7Shots on target2
19Total shots8
6Shots off target4
6Blocked shots2
15Shots inside the box4
4Shots outside the box4
8Corners3
9Offsides0
14Fouls8
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
2Goalkeeper saves4
349Total passes328
268Accurate passes240
77%Pass accuracy73%

Player ratings

Box score

Millwall

10Camiel NeghliM · 90'
🅰️ 18.2
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes29%
Tackles1
Duels33%
17
17M. SykesD · 90'
7.7
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes26%
Tackles2
Duels67%
5
5J. Cooper (C)D · 90'
🅰️ 17.5
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes39%
Tackles—
Duels60%
1Lukas JensenG · 90'
7.5
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes16%
Tackles—
Duels—
6Caleb TaylorD · 90'
7.0
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes30%
Tackles1
Duels40%
14Jenson MetcalfeM · 77'
🟨7.0
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes24%
Tackles4
Duels46%
24Casper De NorreM · 86'
7.2
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes35%
Tackles4
Duels71%
19Josh CoburnF · 78'
7.0
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes5%
Tackles—
Duels63%
22
22K. LisbieF · 78'
6.7
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes8%
Tackles—
Duels25%
7Tairyk ArconteF · 71'
⚽ 28.2
More stats
Shots2/2 on target
Passes6%
Tackles1
Duels56%
3Zak SturgeD · 90'
7.5
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes28%
Tackles—
Duels56%
Bench (9)
13Lyndon DykesF · 12'
6.5
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes1%
Tackles1
Duels25%
25Luke CundleM · 12'
⚽ 17.3
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes9%
Tackles—
Duels0%
23Danny BatthD
—
15
15M. CrocombeG
—
12
12Elkan BaggottD
—
2
2J. Osei-TutuD · 8'
6.7
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes4%
Tackles—
Duels—
16
16D. KellyM · 13'
6.9
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes7%
Tackles1
Duels50%
31Raees Bangura-WilliamsM
—
29Zak LovelaceF · 19'
6.7
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes1%
Tackles—
Duels33%

Norwich

1
1V. KovačevićG · 90'
6.2
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes18%
Tackles—
Duels100%
26
26S. FieldM · 60'
6.9
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes20%
Tackles1
Duels83%
23Kenny McLean (C)M · 90'
6.7
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes36%
Tackles3
Duels75%
20
20A. SlimaneM · 60'
6.3
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes11%
Tackles1
Duels33%
6
6H. DarlingD · 90'
🟨7.0
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes26%
Tackles—
Duels56%
11Andre BrooksM · 73'
6.5
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes6%
Tackles3
Duels50%
29O. SchwartauM · 65'
6.5
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes16%
Tackles1
Duels17%
14Ben ChriseneD · 90'
6.0
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes21%
Tackles3
Duels50%
35K. FisherD · 60'
6.0
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes12%
Tackles3
Duels55%
33José CórdobaD · 64'
🟥6.2
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes18%
Tackles—
Duels0%
21Mohamed TouréF · 90'
6.7
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes10%
Tackles1
Duels45%
Bench (9)
49
49A. MusabaF · 17'
6.5
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes3%
Tackles—
Duels33%
13Darline Zidane Yongwa NgameniD
—
32Daniel GrimshawG
—
30
30M. KvistgaardenF
—
7
7P. MattssonM · 30'
6.7
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes15%
Tackles—
Duels100%
3
3J. StaceyD · 30'
6.5
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes10%
Tackles—
Duels50%
15Ruairi McConvilleD · 25'
6.3
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes12%
Tackles1
Duels100%
19Papa Amadou DialloF · 30'
6.9
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes6%
Tackles—
Duels0%
16Jacob WrightM
—

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Millwall vs Norwich?+

Our AI model favors Millwall to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 28%, Norwich 34%).

Where is Millwall vs Norwich played?+

The match is played at The Den, London (capacity 20,146).

What time does Millwall vs Norwich kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).