Mirassol vs LDU de Quito
Match events
- 15'Carlos Eduardo (Edson)
- 35'Y. Quinonez
- 41'Neto Moura
- 55'Japa
- 60'Japa (Wallisson)
- 71'Alesson (Fernandinho)
- 79'Carlos Eduardo (Shaylon)
- 79'Neto Moura (Denilson)
- 79'Edson (Carlos Eduardo)
- 82'Michael Estrada (J. Corozo)
- 84'Michael Estrada (Deyverson)
- 84'S. Gonzalez Baquero (Alexander Alvarado)
- 90+3'F. Cornejo (J. Rodriguez)
Lineups
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests a strong advantage for Mirassol at home, where they remain unbeaten this season. In contrast, LDU de Quito has shown vulnerabilities in away matches, losing two of their last three. Given these trends, a close match is anticipated, but Mirassol could edge it with a predicted scoreline favoring them.
- Mirassol has a perfect home record this season with 3 wins from 3 games.
- LDU de Quito has struggled on the road, managing only 1 win from 3 away matches.
- Recent form shows Mirassol winning 2 of their last 3 matches at home, while LDU de Quito has 2 losses in their last 3 away outings.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Mirassol
- Strong home recordMirassol
Mirassol have won 3 of their last 3 home matches.
3/3 home wins - Weak away recordLDU de Quito
LDU de Quito have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins - Poor recent formMirassol
Mirassol have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L - Good recent formLDU de Quito
LDU de Quito have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Mirassol at 56% — final result was a draw, Mirassol 1-1 LDU de Quito.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Mirassol have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- LDU de Quito have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Mirassol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 | WWWL |
| 1 |  LDU de Quito | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 | WLLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Herrera
Based on 15 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?+
Our AI model favors Mirassol to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 28%, LDU de Quito 16%).
What time does Mirassol vs LDU de Quito kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).