LDU de Quito vs Mirassol
Match events
- 13'Denilson
- 44'R. Ade
- 45+3'Chico
- 46'Chico (Neto Moura)
- 46'R. Mina (J. Rodriguez)
- 52'Janner Corozo (Deyverson)
- 59'André Luis
- 70'S. Gonzalez Baquero (Alexander Alvarado)
- 77'Shaylon (Alesson)
- 81'Josué Cuero (Gian Franco Allala)
- 87'André Luis (Bruno Santos)
- 88'Fernandinho (Carlos Eduardo)
- 90+2'Denilson (Japa)
- 120+1'Victor Luis
- 120+1'Deyverson
- 120+2'Alesson
- 120+2'Jesús Pretell
- 120+3'Carlos Eduardo
- 120+3'Michael Estrada
- 120+4'Neto Moura
- 120+4'Gian Franco Allala
- 120+5'Bruno Santos
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests that LDU de Quito holds a strong home advantage, remaining unbeaten with a perfect record. While Mirassol has performed decently at home, their away form reflects challenges, particularly in defense. Given their recent match ended in a draw, a closely contested game is anticipated, likely resulting in another stalemate.
- LDU de Quito unbeaten at home this season with a 100% win rate
- Mirassol struggling with a recent away record of 1 loss in 3 matches
- Recent form shows LDU with 3 wins in last 5, Mirassol with 2 wins
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors LDU de Quito
- Strong home recordLDU de Quito
LDU de Quito have won 3 of their last 3 home matches.
3/3 home wins - Weak away recordMirassol
Mirassol have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins - Tighter defenseLDU de Quito
LDU de Quito are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Good recent formLDU de Quito
LDU de Quito have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked LDU de Quito at 60.69% — final result was a draw, LDU de Quito 0-0 Mirassol.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (97/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- LDU de Quito have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Mirassol have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LDU de Quito | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 | WLLW |
| 2 |  Mirassol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 | WWWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
Y. Perez
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?+
Our AI model favors LDU de Quito to win, with a 60.69% probability (Draw 24.78%, Mirassol 14.53%).
What time does LDU de Quito vs Mirassol kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).