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Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice

Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 4
Motor Lublin
1–0Full-time
GKS Katowice
WLLDGoals 10-1813th in league
WLWWGoals 27-148th in league
Home1W 0D 1L(2-2)
Away0W 0D 2L(1-3)
Motor Lublin Arena

Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin · Capacity 15,500 · grass · Referee: P. Gryckiewicz

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 45+3'Marcel Wędrychowski
  2. 46'A. Czerwiński (P. Resta)
  3. 46'Marcel Wędrychowski (S. Bartlewicz)
  4. 49'K. Czubak
  5. 49'Goal Disallowed - offside — K. Czubak
  6. 60'I. Shkurin (B. Nowak)
  7. 60'Goal Disallowed - offside — I. Shkurin
  8. 64'Christopher Simon
  9. 66'Fábio Ronaldo (M. Aiko)
  10. 67'B. Bereszyński
  11. 71'Erik Jirka (M. Wasielewski)
  12. 71'M. Wdowiak (Borja Galan Gonzalez)
  13. 78'Thomas Santos (Kamil Lukoszek)
  14. 86'K. Czubak (Mbaye Ndiaye)
  15. 89'B. Nowak (Eman Marković)
  16. 90+3'Mbaye Ndiaye (Florian Haxha)
  17. 90+3'Mateusz Łęgowski (Paskal Meyer)
  18. 90+3'K. Czubak (Dominik Gregorski)
  19. 90+6'M. Bartoš
  20. 90+6'Lukas Klemenz

Lineups

Motor Lublin
GKS Katowice
4-1-4-13-4-3
71
71. Mihai Popa
24
24. Filip Luberecki
39
39. M. Bartoš
18
18. B. Bereszyński
29
← 78'
29. Thomas Santos
27. Yacine Bourhane
11
← 66'
11. Fábio Ronaldo
8
8. Christopher Simon
← 90+3'
6. Mateusz Łęgowski
30
← 90+3'
30. Mbaye Ndiaye
10
← 90+3'
10. K. Czubak
27
← 89'
27. B. Nowak
17
17. I. Shkurin
10
← 46'
10. Marcel Wędrychowski
7
← 71'
7. M. Wdowiak
19
19. Kacper Łukasiak
68
68. Bartosz Wolski
← 71'
97. Erik Jirka
6
6. Lukas Klemenz
4
4. A. Jedrych
30
← 46'
30. A. Czerwiński
87
87. Gabriel Kobylak
Mariusz MisiuraCoachRafal Gorak
Bench (12)
Bench (11)
Motor LublinGKS Katowice
1.0
Goals/game
2.7
1.8
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Motor Lublin win
40%
Draw
27%
GKS Katowice win
33%
62.5%BTTS
67%Over 2.5
10.5%Motor Lublin clean sheet
30.1%GKS Katowice clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests GKS Katowice enters this match with a stronger recent form than Motor Lublin, who are yet to secure a point this season. The scoring averages favor GKS Katowice significantly, with 2.3 goals per game compared to Motor Lublin's 1 per game. With the home side struggling defensively, the numbers imply a possible away victory.

  • Motor Lublin has lost both of their last two matches.
  • GKS Katowice has won 2 of their last 5 matches, showing a better recent form.
  • Historically, the last encounter resulted in a close score (3-2) favoring Motor Lublin, indicating potential competitiveness.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
72/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Motor Lublin

  • Sharper attackGKS Katowice

    GKS Katowice are averaging 2.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.7/game
  • Historical edgeMotor Lublin

    Motor Lublin have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    1/2 H2H wins
  • Good recent formGKS Katowice

    GKS Katowice have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Higher league positionGKS Katowice

    GKS Katowice sit 5 places above Motor Lublin in the table.

    #8 vs #13

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Motor Lublin at 40% — final result was Motor Lublin win, Motor Lublin 1-0 GKS Katowice.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Motor Lublin ✓2.35market 42.6% · model 40%
GKS Katowice2.73market 36.7% · model 33%
Draw3.51market 28.5% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Motor Lublin have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • GKS Katowice have averaged 2.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Motor Lublin wins
1Draws
0GKS Katowice wins
3-2Goals
Motor Lublin
3–2Feb 24, 2025, 6:00 PM
GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
0–0Aug 16, 2024, 6:30 PM
Motor Lublin

Odds comparison

Match winner

Motor Lublin2.35▼best 2.58
Draw3.51▲best 3.75
GKS Katowice2.73▲best 2.97

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.57▼best 1.60
Under 2.52.30▲best 2.40

Both teams to score

Yes1.48▼best 1.53
No2.47▲best 2.55

Double chance

Motor Lublin/Draw1.42▼best 1.53
Motor Lublin/GKS Katowice1.26best 1.30
Draw/GKS Katowice1.55▲best 1.65

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.21▲best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.98▼best 4.20
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.21best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Motor Lublin2.35▼ 0.25
Draw3.51▲ 0.01
GKS Katowice2.73▲ 0.30
13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Motor Lublin win+0.4pp
AI
40%
Market
39.6%
Draw+0.6pp
AI
27%
Market
26.4%
GKS Katowice win-1pp
AI
33%
Market
34%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
Motor Lublin
5122-25WLLD
8
GKS Katowice
4202+56WLWL

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game2.7
1.8Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

P. Gryckiewicz

5Yellow cards / game
0.33Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Motor Lublin

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

GKS Katowice

0-15'
0%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
14.3%
76-90+'
57.1%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?+

Our AI model favors Motor Lublin to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 27%, GKS Katowice 33%).

Where is Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice played?+

The match is played at Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin (capacity 15,500).

What time does Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 12:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).