MVV vs FC Volendam

De Geusselt, Maastricht · Capacity 10,000 · artificial turf · Referee: S. Teuben
Match events
- 31'J. Haakmat
- 46'J. Haakmat (D. Bisschops)
- 51'D. Huisman
- 53'E. Schouten
- 65'A. Plat (Kayden Wolff)
- 65'E. Schouten (M. Amevor)
- 71'D. Bisschops
- 74'N. Doodeman
- 78'D. Huisman (J. Tielemans)
- 82'M. Hofland
- 83'D. Asante (J. Pawirodihardjo)
- 87'Sil van der Wegen
- 90+3'Elias Sierra (Thijme Verheijen)
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 2.1
- 2.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Analysis suggests a competitive match, with FC Volendam favored based on their head-to-head advantage and current goal-scoring rate. MVV's recent performance has been inconsistent, which may impact their home opener.
- FC Volendam has a historical edge with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters against MVV.
- MVV's recent form shows only 1 win in the last 5 matches.
- FC Volendam has a positive goal difference (+2) compared to MVV's goals per game average of 1.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FC Volendam
- Sharper attackFC Volendam
FC Volendam are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game - Historical edgeFC Volendam
FC Volendam have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formFC Volendam
FC Volendam have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Tighter defenseMVV
MVV are conceding just 2.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
2.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FC Volendam at 48.92% — final result was MVV win, MVV 1-0 FC Volendam.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (85/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- MVV have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FC Volendam have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
S. Teuben
Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
MVV
FC Volendam
More Eerste Divisie predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win MVV vs FC Volendam?+
Our AI model favors FC Volendam to win, with a 48.92% probability (Draw 24.27%, MVV 26.81%).
Where is MVV vs FC Volendam played?+
The match is played at De Geusselt, Maastricht (capacity 10,000).
What time does MVV vs FC Volendam kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

