MVV vs FC Volendam

Eerste Divisie· Regular Season - 3
MVV
10Full-time
FC Volendam
LWWLGoals 8-223rd in league
WLLWGoals 21-1811th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(3-1)
De Geusselt

De Geusselt, Maastricht · Capacity 10,000 · artificial turf · Referee: S. Teuben

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'J. Haakmat
  2. 46'J. Haakmat (D. Bisschops)
  3. 51'D. Huisman
  4. 53'E. Schouten
  5. 65'A. Plat (Kayden Wolff)
  6. 65'E. Schouten (M. Amevor)
  7. 71'D. Bisschops
  8. 74'N. Doodeman
  9. 78'D. Huisman (J. Tielemans)
  10. 82'M. Hofland
  11. 83'D. Asante (J. Pawirodihardjo)
  12. 87'Sil van der Wegen
  13. 90+3'Elias Sierra (Thijme Verheijen)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
MVVFC Volendam
0.8
Goals/game
2.1
2.2
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

MVV win
26.81%
Draw
24.27%
FC Volendam win
48.92%
64.3%BTTS
67%Over 2.5
11.6%MVV clean sheet
27.3%FC Volendam clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Analysis suggests a competitive match, with FC Volendam favored based on their head-to-head advantage and current goal-scoring rate. MVV's recent performance has been inconsistent, which may impact their home opener.

  • FC Volendam has a historical edge with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters against MVV.
  • MVV's recent form shows only 1 win in the last 5 matches.
  • FC Volendam has a positive goal difference (+2) compared to MVV's goals per game average of 1.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
85/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Volendam

  • Sharper attackFC Volendam

    FC Volendam are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Historical edgeFC Volendam

    FC Volendam have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    3/8 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formFC Volendam

    FC Volendam have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Tighter defenseMVV

    MVV are conceding just 2.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    2.2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked FC Volendam at 48.92% — final result was MVV win, MVV 1-0 FC Volendam.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (85/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Volendam1.88market 53.1% · model 48.92%
MVV3.55market 28.1% · model 26.81%
Draw3.73market 26.8% · model 24.27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • MVV have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FC Volendam have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1MVV wins
4Draws
3FC Volendam wins
12-17Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

MVV3.55best 4.00
Draw3.73best 3.91
FC Volendam1.88best 1.95

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.54best 1.57
Under 2.52.34best 2.45

Both teams to score

Yes1.50best 1.52
No2.43best 2.55

Double chance

MVV/Draw1.85best 1.96
MVV/FC Volendam1.23best 1.25
Draw/FC Volendam1.26best 1.32

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.50best 5.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

MVV3.55 0.09
Draw3.73 0.03
FC Volendam1.88 0.04
18 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

MVV win+0.7pp
AI
26.81%
Market
26.1%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
24.27%
Market
24.8%
FC Volendam win-0.2pp
AI
48.92%
Market
49.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
MVV
3300+39WWW
11
FC Volendam
000000

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game2.1
2.2Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

S. Teuben

3.5Yellow cards / game
0.13Red cards / game
0.38Penalties scored / game

Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

MVV

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
66.7%

FC Volendam

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
40%
76-90+'
20%

More Eerste Divisie predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win MVV vs FC Volendam?+

Our AI model favors FC Volendam to win, with a 48.92% probability (Draw 24.27%, MVV 26.81%).

Where is MVV vs FC Volendam played?+

The match is played at De Geusselt, Maastricht (capacity 10,000).

What time does MVV vs FC Volendam kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).