Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 21
WLWWGoals 19-191st in league
LWLLGoals 13-1415th in league
Home10W 1D 0L(32-12)
Away1W 3D 7L(17-25)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 27'H. Mukhtar (D. Lovitz)
  2. 39'D. Lovitz
  3. 49'C. Ruvalcaba
  4. 58'M. Farsi (M. Amundsen)
  5. 60'M. Farsi (Brooks Lennon)
  6. 60'C. Adams (J. Martínez)
  7. 62'Alex Muyl (Elias Saad)
  8. 62'Patrick Yazbek (Edvard Sandvik Tagseth)
  9. 62'D. Lovitz (R. Baker-Whiting)
  10. 68'André Gomes
  11. 76'André Gomes (Dylan Chambost)
  12. 85'Brais Méndez (D. Gazdag)
  13. 85'T. Habroune (L. Giaccone)
  14. 88'Matthew Corcoran (Bryan Acosta)
  15. 88'Cristian Espinoza (Shakur Mohammed)
  16. 90+3'R. Baker-Whiting (H. Mukhtar)
  17. 90+5'Andy Najar (J. Palacios)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Nashville SCColumbus Crew
1.9
Goals/game
1.3
1.9
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Nashville SC win
58%
Draw
23%
Columbus Crew win
19%
64.5%BTTS
63%Over 2.5
20.2%Nashville SC clean sheet
19.2%Columbus Crew clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Nashville SC, currently sitting at the top of the standings, has a strong home advantage, remaining unbeaten there this season. Columbus Crew, on the other hand, has had difficulty away from home, contributing to their lower league standing. Historically, Nashville has had the upper hand in recent matchups, which favors them in this contest.

  • Nashville SC unbeaten at home this season with 9 wins in 10 matches
  • Columbus Crew struggling away with only 1 win in 10 matches
  • Nashville SC has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Columbus Crew
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
95/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Nashville SC

  • Strong home recordNashville SC

    Nashville SC have won 10 of their last 11 home matches.

    10/11 home wins
  • Weak away recordColumbus Crew

    Columbus Crew have won 1 of their last 11 away matches.

    1/11 away wins
  • Higher league positionNashville SC

    Nashville SC sit 14 places above Columbus Crew in the table.

    #1 vs #15
  • Good recent formNashville SC

    Nashville SC have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Nashville SC at 58% — final result was Nashville SC win, Nashville SC 3-2 Columbus Crew.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (95/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Nashville SC1.69market 59% · model 58%
Draw3.91market 25.5% · model 23%
Columbus Crew4.61market 21.7% · model 19%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Nashville SC have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Columbus Crew have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Nashville SC wins
3Draws
2Columbus Crew wins
12-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Nashville SC1.69best 1.81
Draw3.91best 4.16
Columbus Crew4.61best 5.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.72best 1.78
Under 2.52.09best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.68best 1.76
No2.08best 2.20

Double chance

Nashville SC/Draw1.18best 1.25
Nashville SC/Columbus Crew1.23best 1.25
Draw/Columbus Crew2.10best 2.23

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.88
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.25best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.13best 1.14

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Nashville SC1.69 0.03
Draw3.91 0.03
Columbus Crew4.61 0.44
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Nashville SC win+2.4pp
AI
58%
Market
55.6%
Draw-1pp
AI
23%
Market
24%
Columbus Crew win-1.4pp
AI
19%
Market
20.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Nashville SC
211542+2649WWDL
15
Columbus Crew
215511-620LLDW

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1.3
1.9Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Nashville SC

0-15'
9.1%
16-30'
18.2%
31-45'
27.3%
46-60'
18.2%
61-75'
9.1%
76-90+'
18.2%

Columbus Crew

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
57.1%

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?+

Our AI model favors Nashville SC to win, with a 58% probability (Draw 23%, Columbus Crew 19%).

What time does Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).