Nashville SC vs Inter Miami — Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 19

Nashville SC

4–1Full-time

Inter Miami

WDWLWWGoals 18-201st in league

WLLLDLGoals 26-142nd in league

Home10W 1D 0L(32-12)

Away8W 2D 2L(27-21)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

17'Andy Najar (Elias Saad)
23'Lionel Messi (Lionel Messi)
33'F. Mura (M. Falcon)
45+3'T. Segovia (Lionel Messi)
45+6'S. Surridge
48'Casemiro
49'H. Mukhtar (Elias Saad)
57'S. Surridge (Cristian Espinoza)
59'Lionel Messi
64'H. Mukhtar (Brian Schwake)
71'Cristian Espinoza (Shakur Mohammed)
72'J. Palacios (Jack Maher)
72'Elias Saad (Alex Muyl)
75'Sergio Reguilón (N. Allen)
75'Ian Fray (David Ruiz)
78'David Ruiz
84'Andy Najar (D. Lovitz)
86'T. Segovia (L. Delinois)
87'R. Baker-Whiting (J. Bauer)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Nashville SCInter Miami

1.8
Goals/game: 2.6; 2.0
Conceded/game: 1.4

AI match analysis

Nashville SC win

37%

Draw

26%

Inter Miami win

37%

71.8%BTTS

74.7%Over 2.5

10%Nashville SC clean sheet

20.2%Inter Miami clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-3

The numbers suggest a tightly contested matchup as both teams exhibit strong recent form, with Nashville SC dominating at home while Inter Miami has historically had the upper hand in their showdowns. Nashville SC's unbeaten home record makes them formidable, but Inter Miami's scoring average of 3.2 goals per match indicates their attacking strength. Given their head-to-head results, a scoreline of 2-3 in favor of Inter Miami appears plausible.

Nashville SC unbeaten at home this season with 8 wins and 1 draw from 9 matches
Inter Miami has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Nashville SC
Inter Miami averages 3.2 goals scored per match over the last 10 games
Both teams have strong form, with Nashville SC's recent form being DLWWW and Inter Miami on a DWWWW streak.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

65/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Nashville SC

Sharper attackInter Miami
Inter Miami are averaging 2.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.6/game
Historical edgeInter Miami
Inter Miami have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
7/8 H2H wins
Good recent formNashville SC
Nashville SC have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Poor recent formInter Miami
Inter Miami have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Nashville SC at 37% — final result was Nashville SC win, Nashville SC 4-1 Inter Miami.

Predicted score was 2-3.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Nashville SC ✓2.45market 40.8% · model 37%

Inter Miami2.56market 39.1% · model 37%

Draw3.75market 26.7% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Nashville SC have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Inter Miami have averaged 2.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Nashville SC wins

0Draws

7Inter Miami wins

9-23Goals

Inter Miami

4–0Nov 9, 2025, 1:00 AM

Nashville SC

2–1Nov 1, 2025, 11:30 PM

Inter Miami

3–1Oct 25, 2025, 12:00 AM

Nashville SC

2–5Oct 18, 2025, 10:00 PM

Inter Miami

2–1Jul 12, 2025, 11:45 PM

Nashville SC

1–2Jun 30, 2024, 12:30 AM

Inter Miami

3–1Apr 20, 2024, 11:30 PM

Nashville SC

Inter Miami

3–1Mar 14, 2024, 12:15 AM

Nashville SC

Odds comparison

Match winner

Nashville SC2.45▲best 2.55

Draw3.75▲best 3.87

Inter Miami2.56▼best 2.65

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.46▲best 1.52

Under 2.52.61▼best 2.73

Both teams to score

Yes1.40▼best 1.46

No2.73▼best 2.80

Double chance

Nashville SC/Draw1.48▲best 1.53

Nashville SC/Inter Miami1.25▲best 1.28

Draw/Inter Miami1.52▼best 1.55

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.50▲best 4.50

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.17▼best 1.18

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.88▼best 5.00

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.16▲best 1.17

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Nashville SC2.45▲ 0.23

Draw3.75▲ 0.05

Inter Miami2.56▼ 0.23

13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Nashville SC win-1.3pp

37%

Market

38.3%

Draw+1pp

26%

Market

25%

Inter Miami win+0.3pp

37%

Market

36.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.