NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — Pro League

Pro League· Regular Season - 3

NEOM

0–2Full-time

Al-Qadisiyah FC

WLDWWWGoals 18-147th in league

DDWWWLGoals 27-85th in league

Home1W 0D 1L(2-3)

Away2W 0D 0L(5-1)

Match events

20'G. Álvarez
29'T. Reijnders (G. Álvarez)
46'Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat (Yasir Al-Shahrani)
46'A. Hejji
56'Mateo Retegui
61'A. Hejji (Alexandre Lacazette)
61'Khalifah Aldawsari (Faisal Al-Ghamdi)
61'Muhannad Al Saad (Khalil Al-Absi)
70'Mateo Retegui (Mohammed Al-Qahtani)
75'Aloyayari Abdulmalik (Mohammed Al-Burayk)
75'Giorgos Masouras (Islam Ahmed Hawsawi)
77'J. Thakri (Ibrahim Mahnashi)
87'Musab Al Juwayr (Turki Alammar)

Lineups

NEOM

Al-Qadisiyah FC

4-4-2

3-1-4-2

Christophe GaltierCoach

Brendan Rodgers

Bench (9)

AI match analysis

NEOM win

18%

Draw

22%

Al-Qadisiyah FC win

60%

63.4%BTTS

65.1%Over 2.5

12.9%NEOM clean sheet

27.3%Al-Qadisiyah FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Al-Qadisiyah FC has a strong recent away form, scoring an average of 2.7 goals per game over their last 10 matches, compared to NEOM's average of 1.8 scored. Historically, Al-Qadisiyah FC has had the upper hand in their recent meetings, defeating NEOM in both encounters. The bookmaker-implied probabilities indicate a significant favor towards Al-Qadisiyah FC likely winning this matchup.

NEOM unbeaten in last 5 matches with 3 wins
Al-Qadisiyah FC has scored 5 goals in their last away match
Al-Qadisiyah FC won the last two head-to-head encounters against NEOM

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

98/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Al-Qadisiyah FC

Historical edgeAl-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
2/2 H2H wins
Sharper attackAl-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC are averaging 2.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.7/game
Tighter defenseAl-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Higher league positionAl-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 2 places above NEOM in the table.
#5 vs #7

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Al-Qadisiyah FC at 60% — final result was Al-Qadisiyah FC win, NEOM 0-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (98/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Al-Qadisiyah FC ✓1.57market 63.9% · model 60%

Draw4.18market 23.9% · model 22%

NEOM4.79market 20.9% · model 18%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

NEOM have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have averaged 2.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0NEOM wins

0Draws

2Al-Qadisiyah FC wins

1-4Goals

Al-Qadisiyah FC

1–0Feb 12, 2026, 5:30 PM

NEOM

1–3Oct 19, 2025, 6:00 PM

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Odds comparison

Match winner

NEOM4.79▼best 5.20

Draw4.18▲best 4.41

Al-Qadisiyah FC1.57best 1.62

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.50▼best 1.55

Under 2.52.48▲best 2.60

Both teams to score

Yes1.55▼best 1.57

No2.29▲best 2.38

Double chance

NEOM/Draw2.28▲best 2.40

NEOM/Al-Qadisiyah FC1.18▼best 1.21

Draw/Al-Qadisiyah FC1.16▼best 1.20

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.10▼best 1.10

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes7.00▲best 7.00

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

NEOM4.79▲ 0.22

Draw4.18▲ 0.15

Al-Qadisiyah FC1.57▼ 0.02

23 Aug – 24 Aug

Model vs market

NEOM win-1.2pp

AI

18%

Market

19.2%

Draw0pp

AI

22%

Market

22%

Al-Qadisiyah FC win+1.2pp

AI

60%

Market

58.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
7	NEOM	3	2	0	1	+1	6	LWW
5	Al-Qadisiyah FC	3	2	0	1	+3	6	WLW

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game2.7

1.4Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

Faisal Suleiman Al-Balawi

3.33Yellow cards / game

0Red cards / game

0.33Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

NEOM

0-15'

0%

16-30'

14.3%

31-45'

42.9%

46-60'

28.6%

61-75'

14.3%

76-90+'

0%

Al-Qadisiyah FC

0-15'

0%

16-30'

28.6%

31-45'

42.9%

46-60'

0%

61-75'

0%

76-90+'

28.6%

Match statistics

52%Possession48%

1.35Expected goals (xG)1.83

5Shots on target3

16Total shots9

10Shots off target5

1Blocked shots1

12Shots inside the box5

4Shots outside the box4

2Corners2

2Offsides4

17Fouls11

1Yellow cards1

—Red cards—

1Goalkeeper saves5

477Total passes448

423Accurate passes377

89%Pass accuracy84%

Player ratings

1Koen CasteelsAl-Qadisiyah FC8.9
2T. ReijndersAl-Qadisiyah FC⚽ 18.2
3Nacho FernándezAl-Qadisiyah FC7.5
4Julian WeiglAl-Qadisiyah FC7.3
5Jehad ThakriAl-Qadisiyah FC7.3
6Islam Ahmed HawsawiNEOM7.3

Box score

NEOM

4Khalifah AldawsariD · 61'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes38%

Tackles1

Duels40%

15Aloyayari AbdulmalikM · 75'

6.6

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes23%

Tackles1

Duels50%

44Nathan ZezeD · 90'

6.6

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes63%

Tackles2

Duels60%

72Amadou KonéM · 90'

6.6

More stats

Shots0/2 on target

Passes42%

Tackles2

Duels47%

70Haroune CamaraF · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots1/4 on target

Passes12%

Tackles—

Duels40%

7Giorgos MasourasM · 75'

6.2

More stats

Shots2/3 on target

Passes28%

Tackles—

Duels22%

18Ala'a Al-HejjiM · 61'

🟨6.3

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes33%

Tackles—

Duels67%

5Malang Sarr (C)D · 90'

7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes66%

Tackles1

Duels60%

19Mohannad Abu TahaD · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes41%

Tackles5

Duels62%

1Marcin BułkaG · 90'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes12%

Tackles—

Duels—

77Muhannad Al SaadF · 61'

6.2

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes14%

Tackles—

Duels0%

Bench (9)

14Khalil Al-AbsiF · 29'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes5%

Tackles1

Duels100%

8Faisal Al-GhamdiM · 29'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes19%

Tackles—

Duels—

91Alexandre LacazetteF · 29'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes9%

Tackles—

Duels33%

55Mohammed Al DossariD

—

81Luis MaximianoG

—

27Islam Ahmed HawsawiD · 15'

7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes12%

Tackles—

Duels100%

2Mohammed Al-BuraykD · 15'

7.0

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes6%

Tackles2

Duels100%

38Mohammed Dakhil Al-DawsariD

—

22Ahmed Al-AnziF

—

Al-Qadisiyah FC

5Julian WeiglM · 90'

7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes39%

Tackles1

Duels100%

10Musab Al JuwayrM · 87'

6.5

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes39%

Tackles—

Duels20%

6Nacho Fernández (C)D · 90'

7.5

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes71%

Tackles2

Duels60%

22Christopher BaahM · 90'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes23%

Tackles—

Duels46%

17

17G. ÁlvarezD · 90'

🅰️ 1🟨7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes34%

Tackles5

Duels75%

1Koen CasteelsG · 90'

8.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes34%

Tackles—

Duels—

2Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatM · 45'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes17%

Tackles5

Duels63%

32Mateo ReteguiF · 70'

⚽ 17.2

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes7%

Tackles—

Duels60%

4Jehad ThakriD · 77'

7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes42%

Tackles3

Duels100%

33Julián QuiñonesF · 90'

6.2

More stats

Shots0/2 on target

Passes17%

Tackles1

Duels36%

14

14T. ReijndersM · 90'

⚽ 18.2

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes30%

Tackles1

Duels33%

Bench (9)

12Yasir Al-ShahraniD · 45'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes12%

Tackles—

Duels0%

9Abdullah Al-SalemF

—

7Turki AlammarM · 8'

6.3

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes2%

Tackles—

Duels100%

40Ibrahim MahnashiM · 13'

6.3

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes5%

Tackles—

Duels0%

15Kudus MohammedF · 20'

6.3

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes5%

Tackles1

Duels43%

27Eyad HoussaM

—

50Mshari SanyoorG

—

28Ahmed Al-KassarG

—

90Amar Hamed Al YuhaybiM

—

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?+

Our AI model favors Al-Qadisiyah FC to win, with a 60% probability (Draw 22%, NEOM 18%).

What time does NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 4:40 PM (your local time, based on your device).