New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire
Match events
- 17'Leonardo Barroso
- 39'M. Haile-Selassie (Viktor Radojević)
- 46'Cade Cowell (Mohammed Sofo)
- 46'Mijahir Jimenez (J. Ruvalcaba)
- 46'Matthew Dos Santos (Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty)
- 56'Dylan Nealis (Omar Valencia)
- 56'Emil Forsberg (E. Choupo-Moting)
- 64'Joel Waterman
- 65'S. Williams (Anton Saletros)
- 65'P. Zinckernagel (Robert Lewandowski)
- 66'Mohammed Sofo
- 77'Viktor Radojević (Jonathan Dean)
- 85'Julian Hall (Cameron Harper)
- 86'Cameron Harper (E. Choupo-Moting)
- 88'Mauricio Pineda (D. D'Avilla)
- 88'Robin Lod (Jack Elliott)
- 89'J. Bamba (P. Dithejane)
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that the Chicago Fire enter this match in better form, having won three consecutive games, whereas the New York Red Bulls have lost four of their last five. Historically, the head-to-head encounters are competitive, with Chicago Fire holding a slight edge. Given their scoring averages and recent performances, the numbers favor Chicago to secure a victory.
- Chicago Fire unbeaten in last 3 matches
- New York Red Bulls have lost 4 of their last 5 games
- Chicago Fire scored an average of 2.3 goals over last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors New York Red Bulls
- Poor recent formNew York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L - Good recent formChicago Fire
Chicago Fire have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Sharper attackChicago Fire
Chicago Fire are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game - Historical edgeChicago Fire
Chicago Fire have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked New York Red Bulls at 38% — final result was a draw, New York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago Fire.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- New York Red Bulls have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago Fire have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Chicago Fire
New York Red BullsNew York Red BullsChicago FireChicago FireNew York Red BullsNew York Red BullsChicago FireNew York Red BullsChicago FireChicago FireNew York Red BullsNew York Red BullsChicago FireChicago FireNew York Red BullsOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -12 | 26 | LLWL |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +11 | 36 | WWWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?+
Our AI model favors New York Red Bulls to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 24%, Chicago Fire 38%).
What time does New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).