Nippon Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka S. Hawks
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nippon Ham Fighters | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
 Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 6-7
The data suggests a competitive matchup between the Nippon Ham Fighters and Fukuoka S. Hawks. While the Fighters boast a strong home record and have historically performed well against the Hawks, the Hawks lead the division and have a better overall season win percentage. The numbers favor Fukuoka to edge out with a slight advantage in both scoring and overall performance.
- Nippon Ham Fighters have a strong home win rate of 65% this season.
- Fukuoka S. Hawks are ranked first in the division and have a 70% away win rate.
- In their last 10 games, Nippon Ham Fighters average 6 runs scored while allowing 3.1 runs per game, which indicates strong offensive and defensive performance.
- Historically, in their last 5 meetings, Nippon Ham Fighters have won 3 times against Fukuoka S. Hawks, suggesting a competitive dynamic.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Fukuoka S. Hawks
- Historical edgeNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks sit 2 places above Nippon Ham Fighters in the table.
#1 vs #3 - Good recent formNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 57% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Fukuoka S. Hawks at 57% — final result was Fukuoka S. Hawks win, Nippon Ham Fighters 1-7 Fukuoka S. Hawks.
Predicted score was 6-7.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Nippon Ham Fighters have averaged 5.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Fukuoka S. Hawks have averaged 5.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nippon Ham Fighters are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Fukuoka S. Hawks.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Nippon Ham Fighters | Fukuoka S. Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.04 | 1.30 |
| -0.5 | 2.35 | 1.54 |
| +0.5 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| +1 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| +1.5 | 1.71 | 2.07 |
| +2 | 1.55 | 2.31 |
| +2.5 | 1.44 | 2.58 |
| +3 | 1.33 | 2.90 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.38 | 2.73 |
| 6 | 1.46 | 2.50 |
| 6.5 | 1.62 | 2.16 |
| 7 | 1.77 | 1.94 |
| 7.5 | 2.04 | 1.73 |
| 8 | 2.17 | 1.61 |
| 8.5 | 2.42 | 1.51 |
| 9 | 2.75 | 1.39 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 | Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Nippon Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka S. Hawks?+
Our AI model favors Fukuoka S. Hawks to win, with a 57% probability (Nippon Ham Fighters 43%).
What time does Nippon Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka S. Hawks start?+
First pitch is at Aug 18, 2026, 5:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Nippon Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka S. Hawks?+
Nippon Ham Fighters: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Fukuoka S. Hawks: 0, 1, 4, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 1-7.