North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats
Marvel Stadium
Score
| Team | Goals | Behinds | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 North Melbourne Kangaroos | 17 | 8 | 110 |
 Geelong Cats | 19 | 11 | 125 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 66-112
Data suggests a strong advantage for the Geelong Cats in this matchup, as they have consistently dominated North Melbourne Kangaroos in their recent encounters. The Kangaroos' high average points conceded combined with the Cats' impressive scoring form implies a significant outcome favoring Geelong.
- Geelong Cats have won the last 5 matchups decisively against North Melbourne Kangaroos
- North Melbourne Kangaroos average 80.2 points scored and 112.1 points conceded in their last 10 matches
- Geelong Cats average 112.6 points scored and 78.5 points conceded in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Geelong Cats
- Tighter defenseGeelong Cats
Geelong Cats are conceding just 84.8 points per game over their recent matches.
84.8/game conceded - Historical edgeGeelong Cats
Geelong Cats have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
5/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formNorth Melbourne Kangaroos
North Melbourne Kangaroos have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Strong recent formGeelong Cats
Geelong Cats are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Geelong Cats at 90% — final result was Geelong Cats win, North Melbourne Kangaroos 110-125 Geelong Cats.
Predicted score was 66-112.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Match trends
- North Melbourne Kangaroos have averaged 79 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Geelong Cats have averaged 106 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- North Melbourne Kangaroos are unbeaten in 0 of the last 5 meetings with Geelong Cats.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Geelong CatsNorth Melbourne KangaroosNorth Melbourne KangaroosGeelong CatsNorth Melbourne KangaroosGeelong CatsGeelong CatsNorth Melbourne KangaroosGeelong CatsNorth Melbourne KangaroosLadder
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fremantle Dockers | 23 | 19 | 0 | 4 | +620 | 76 | WLWW |
| 2 |  Sydney Swans | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | +674 | 72 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brisbane Lions | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | +445 | 64 | WWLW |
| 4 |  Hawthorn Hawks | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | +379 | 64 | DLWW |
| 5 | Geelong Cats | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +430 | 60 | WWWW |
| 6 |  Adelaide Crows | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +320 | 60 | LWWL |
| 7 |  Melbourne Demons | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +202 | 60 | WWWL |
| 8 |  Western Bulldogs | 23 | 13 | 1 | 9 | -91 | 54 | DLLW |
| 9 |  Collingwood Magpies | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | +47 | 52 | DWLW |
| 10 |  Carlton Blues | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | +29 | 50 | DWWW |
| 11 |  St Kilda Saints | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | +56 | 40 | WLLW |
| 12 |  Greater Western Sydney Giants | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | -22 | 40 | WLWL |
| 13 |  Gold Coast Suns | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -117 | 36 | LWLL |
| 14 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -243 | 36 | LWLL |
| 15 |  Port Adelaide Power | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | -245 | 28 | LLLL |
| 16 |  West Coast Eagles | 23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | -718 | 16 | LLLL |
| 17 |  Richmond Tigers | 23 | 3 | 0 | 20 | -890 | 12 | LLWL |
| 18 |  Essendon Bombers | 23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | -876 | 8 | LLLL |
More AFL Premiership predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats?+
Our AI model favors Geelong Cats to win, with a 90% probability (North Melbourne Kangaroos 10%).
What time does North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats start?+
First bounce is at Aug 15, 2026, 5:45 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the final score in North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats?+
North Melbourne Kangaroos: 17.8 (110). Geelong Cats: 19.11 (125).