Norwich vs West Brom

Championship· Regular Season - 1
Norwich
12Full-time
West Brom
LWLWGoals 17-1523rd in league
LWWLGoals 17-92nd in league
Home0W 0D 1L(1-2)
Away1W 0D 0L(2-1)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'Nathaniel Phillips
  2. 48'O. Diakite
  3. 68'H. Whitwell (J. Molumby)
  4. 68'F. Myhre (R. Nzingoula)
  5. 72'A. Slimane (O. Schwartau)
  6. 72'Edmond-Paris Maghoma (Papa Amadou Diallo)
  7. 75'Aune Selland Heggebø (J. Morgan)
  8. 79'Andre Brooks (Jacob Wright)
  9. 86'Mohamed Touré (M. Kvistgaarden)
  10. 86'P. Mattsson (Samuel Field)
  11. 87'J. Morgan (M. O’Leary)
  12. 90+1'M. Kvistgaarden
  13. 90+1'J. Morgan (B. Stewart)
  14. 90+5'O. Diakite (K. Bielik)
  15. 90+5'Nolan Galves (Chris Mepham)

Lineups

NorwichWest Brom
1.7
Goals/game
1.7
1.5
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Norwich win
50%
Draw
27%
West Brom win
23%
58.1%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
20.2%Norwich clean sheet
27.3%West Brom clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Statistical analysis indicates that Norwich is in a favorable position heading into this matchup, having secured victories in 4 of their last 5 matches, which includes a strong home performance. Conversely, West Brom, while solid defensively with an average of 0.5 goals conceded in their last 10 matches, may struggle against Norwich, who has historically performed well in direct encounters, winning all of the last 5 matchups.

  • Norwich has won 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • West Brom averages 1.6 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded over their last 10 matches.
  • Historically, Norwich has had the upper hand in recent head-to-heads, winning 5 of the last 5 meetings.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
85/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Norwich

  • Tighter defenseWest Brom

    West Brom are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded
  • Historical edgeNorwich

    Norwich have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionWest Brom

    West Brom sit 21 places above Norwich in the table.

    #2 vs #23

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Norwich at 50% — final result was West Brom win, Norwich 1-2 West Brom.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (85/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Norwich1.94market 51.6% · model 50%
Draw3.46market 28.9% · model 27%
West Brom3.86market 25.9% · model 23%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Norwich have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • West Brom have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Norwich wins
1Draws
3West Brom wins
14-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Norwich1.94best 2.00
Draw3.46best 3.61
West Brom3.86best 4.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.95best 2.03
Under 2.51.84best 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes1.77best 1.80
No1.95best 2.00

Double chance

Norwich/Draw1.24best 1.27
Norwich/West Brom1.28best 1.30
Draw/West Brom1.83best 1.89

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.19best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.27best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.43best 1.44

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Norwich1.94 0.02
Draw3.46 0.04
West Brom3.86 0.29
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Norwich win+1.5pp
AI
50%
Market
48.5%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
27%
Market
27.2%
West Brom win-1.4pp
AI
23%
Market
24.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
23
Norwich
2002-40LL
2
West Brom
2200+36WW

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.7
1.5Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

T. Robinson

3.35Yellow cards / game
0.1Red cards / game
0.3Penalties scored / game

Based on 20 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Norwich

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

West Brom

0-15'
0%
16-30'
40%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
20%

More Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Norwich vs West Brom?+

Our AI model favors Norwich to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 27%, West Brom 23%).

What time does Norwich vs West Brom kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).