Notts County vs Leicester
Match events
- 15'Jack Evans
- 21'M. Paterson
- 43'J. Gibbons
- 44'W. Alves
- 62'J. Joseph (Sammy Braybrooke)
- 67'L. Smyth (Emile Acquah)
- 67'Jack Evans (Conor Grant)
- 67'C. Roberts (H. Mustapha)
- 70'W. Burns (Tom Watson)
- 71'Bobby Decordova-Reid (Hamza Choudhury)
- 77'W. Alves (H. Howell)
- 81'Conor Grant
- 83'Dean Campbell (S. Robertson)
- 84'L. Cullen (A. Bristric)
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The analysis indicates that Leicester, currently ranked 6th, may have a competitive edge in this matchup against Notts County, who sit at 17th. Historical results show Leicester's resilience in away games, augmenting their chances for success. The recent form of both teams suggests a higher likelihood of a Leicester victory, although draws are plausible given Notts County's recent games.
- Leicester has an unbeaten record in the last 5 away matches against Notts County
- Notts County's last 5 matches show 40% of games ending in draws
- Leicester's strong league positioning favors their performance in this fixture
- Notts County averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Leicester
- Higher league positionNotts County
Notts County sit 3 places above Leicester in the table.
#15 vs #18 - Sharper attackNotts County
Notts County are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Leicester at 47% — final result was a draw, Notts County 1-1 Leicester.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Notts County have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Leicester have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |  Notts County | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 18 |  Leicester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Notts County
Leicester
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BromleyFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Notts County vs Leicester?+
Our AI model favors Leicester to win, with a 47% probability (Draw 27%, Notts County 26%).
What time does Notts County vs Leicester kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).