Novorizontino vs America Mineiro
Match events
- 17'Paulo Victor
- 19'Madson
- 23'Patrick (Diego Mathias)
- 33'Manoel
- 39'Romulo (Romulo)
- 46'Gonzalo Mastriani (Guilherme Parede)
- 46'Manoel (Jorge Roa Jiménez)
- 66'Yago Souza (Rodrigo Piñeiro)
- 67'Reidiney (Vinicius Paiva)
- 67'Reidiney (Juninho)
- 67'Diego Mathias (Vinicius Paiva)
- 71'Patrick
- 77'Willian (F. Elizari)
- 81'Robson
- 82'Robson (Nicolas Careca)
- 82'Romulo (Carlao)
- 84'Barreto (Felipe Amaral)
- 86'Nicolas Careca
- 89'Leo Naldi (Marlon)
- 90+1'Carlao (Luis Oyama)
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 0.7
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Novorizontino has a stronger home record and is currently in slightly better form compared to America Mineiro, who struggled significantly away. Novorizontino's stronger standing and head-to-head advantage further bolster their chances of securing a victory in this matchup.
- Novorizontino's home record is 5W 2D 3L this season
- America Mineiro has only 1 away win from 11 matches
- Recent form favoring Novorizontino (DLWLL) compared to America Mineiro (LLWLD)
- Head-to-head record shows Novorizontino winning 2 out of 4 matches against America Mineiro
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Novorizontino
- Higher league positionNovorizontino
Novorizontino sit 15 places above America Mineiro in the table.
#4 vs #19 - Strong home recordNovorizontino
Novorizontino have won 6 of their last 11 home matches.
6/11 home wins - Weak away recordAmerica Mineiro
America Mineiro have won 1 of their last 13 away matches.
1/13 away wins - Tighter defenseNovorizontino
Novorizontino are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Novorizontino at 61% — final result was Novorizontino win, Novorizontino 3-0 America Mineiro.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (97/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Novorizontino have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- America Mineiro have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |  Novorizontino | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +18 | 40 | WDLW |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | -26 | 11 | LLLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
B. Machado
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
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CuiabaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Novorizontino vs America Mineiro?+
Our AI model favors Novorizontino to win, with a 61% probability (Draw 25%, America Mineiro 14%).
What time does Novorizontino vs America Mineiro kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).