Olancho vs CD Olimpia
Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa · Capacity 22,000 · grass
Match events
- 15'R. Garcia
- 28'C. Romero
- 46'R. Garcia (A. Maldonado)
- 46'C. Romero (M. R. Ramirez Arauz)
- 60'N. Munoz
- 65'D. Paguada (J. Alvarez)
- 65'Michaell Chirinos (Nicolas Dibble)
- 65'J. Rodriguez (K. Pena)
- 74'D. Andino (V. Ávila)
- 74'Joanderson (S. Pozantes)
- 82'Y. Arboleda (F. Garcia)
- 82'A. Maldonado (J. Benguche)
- 90+4'Nicolas Dibble
- 90+6'J. Bengtson
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 2.3
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that CD Olimpia enters this match in strong form, having won their last three games, while Olancho's recent form shows a mix of wins and draws. Historically, CD Olimpia has performed well in their meetings against Olancho, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters. With Olancho averaging fewer goals scored compared to CD Olimpia's attacking output, the numbers seem to favor the away team for this matchup.
- CD Olimpia unbeaten in last 4 matches against Olancho
- Olancho has averaged 0.9 goals scored per match over their last 10 games
- CD Olimpia has averaged 2.3 goals scored per match over their last 10 games
- Olancho won their only home game this season although their scoring remains low
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors CD Olimpia
- Sharper attackCD Olimpia
CD Olimpia are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.3/game - Good recent formCD Olimpia
CD Olimpia have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Historical edgeCD Olimpia
CD Olimpia have won 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
2/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionCD Olimpia
CD Olimpia sit 3 places above Olancho in the table.
#1 vs #4
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked CD Olimpia at 41.9% — final result was a draw, Olancho 1-1 CD Olimpia.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Olancho have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- CD Olimpia have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
CD Olimpia
OlanchoOlanchoCD OlimpiaOlanchoCD OlimpiaCD OlimpiaOlanchoOlanchoCD OlimpiaCD OlimpiaOlanchoCD OlimpiaOlanchoOlanchoCD OlimpiaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olancho | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 | DWDW |
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 | DWWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Olancho
CD Olimpia
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Who is likely to win Olancho vs CD Olimpia?+
Our AI model favors CD Olimpia to win, with a 41.9% probability (Draw 30.52%, Olancho 27.58%).
Where is Olancho vs CD Olimpia played?+
The match is played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa (capacity 22,000).
What time does Olancho vs CD Olimpia kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 11:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).