Olancho vs Juticalpa
Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa · Capacity 22,000 · grass
Match events
- 21'H. Gomez
- 31'C. J. Zuniga Bernardez
- 37'K. Kelly
- 43'M. Nunez
- 45+2'R. Gonzalez
- 46'Y. A. Cabrera (J. Bengtson)
- 46'H. Gomez (D. Martinez)
- 46'O. Suazo (L. Casildo)
- 60'Joanderson (A. G. Velasquez)
- 60'C. J. Zuniga Bernardez (B. Huayambi)
- 67'C. Sacaza (D. Monico)
- 71'M. R. Ramirez Arauz
- 77'C. Rochez (J. Padilla)
- 77'R. Gonzalez (B. Chavez)
- 82'O. Almendarez
- 83'Y. Delgadillo (J. Galeas)
- 89'M. R. Ramirez Arauz (J. Lasso)
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 2.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Olancho enters this match with a competitive advantage, having not lost to Juticalpa in their last five encounters. Meanwhile, Juticalpa's recent form is concerning, with two consecutive losses and a poor defensive record, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game. The balance of recent performances and head-to-head results favors Olancho significantly.
- Olancho unbeaten in last 5 matches against Juticalpa
- Juticalpa has a negative goal difference of -5 this season
- Olancho has scored an average of 1 goal per game in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Olancho
- Tighter defenseOlancho
Olancho are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded - Historical edgeOlancho
Olancho have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionOlancho
Olancho sit 8 places above Juticalpa in the table.
#4 vs #12 - Poor recent formJuticalpa
Juticalpa have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Olancho at 74% — final result was Olancho win, Olancho 1-0 Juticalpa.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Olancho have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Juticalpa have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Juticalpa
OlanchoOlanchoJuticalpaOlanchoJuticalpaJuticalpaOlanchoJuticalpaOlanchoOlanchoJuticalpaJuticalpaOlanchoOlanchoJuticalpaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Olancho
Juticalpa
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CD MotaguaOlanchoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Olancho vs Juticalpa?+
Our AI model favors Olancho to win, with a 74% probability (Draw 17%, Juticalpa 9%).
Where is Olancho vs Juticalpa played?+
The match is played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa (capacity 22,000).
What time does Olancho vs Juticalpa kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 1:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).