Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati
Unknown · Referee: T. Penso
Match events
- 23'P. Bucha
- 29'Robin Jansson
- 39'B. Rhein (A. Gomez)
- 46'J. Gerbet (M. Pasalic)
- 46'O. Nwobodo (B. Anunga)
- 48'T. Spicer (J. Ellis)
- 55'Evander
- 61'J. Ellis (W. Cartagena)
- 66'S. Gidi (K. Smith)
- 80'T. Barlow (Ayoub Jabbari)
- 80'B. J. Ramirez Leon (K. Mboma)
- 82'T. Spicer (Daryl Dike)
- 85'Matthew Miazga
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 2.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The numbers suggest a competitive match given both teams' recent performances, with Orlando City SC struggling at home and FC Cincinnati showing some resilience away. Recent form indicates that while Orlando has been inconsistent with four losses in their last five, Cincinnati has managed to secure a couple of important wins. Historically, their head-to-head matches have been closely contested, often resulting in tight scores.
- Orlando City SC has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- FC Cincinnati's recent form includes 3 wins in the last 5
- Both teams have recently struggled to maintain solid defensive records
- Home team ranks 10th while the away team is 6th in the standings
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Orlando City SC
- Poor recent formOrlando City SC
Orlando City SC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Strong home recordOrlando City SC
Orlando City SC have won 5 of their last 11 home matches.
5/11 home wins - Weak away recordFC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati have won 1 of their last 10 away matches.
1/10 away wins - Tighter defenseFC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Orlando City SC at 43% — final result was a draw, Orlando City SC 1-1 FC Cincinnati.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Orlando City SC have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FC Cincinnati have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SCOrlando City SCFC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiOrlando City SCOrlando City SCFC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiOrlando City SCOrlando City SCFC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiOrlando City SCOrlando City SCFC CincinnatiOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -17 | 24 | LDLW |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +2 | 31 | WDWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
T. Penso
Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?+
Our AI model favors Orlando City SC to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 23%, FC Cincinnati 34%).
Where is Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati played?+
The match is played at Unknown.
What time does Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).