Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 21
LWDLGoals 14-209th in league
WDLLGoals 18-158th in league
Home5W 2D 4L(19-17)
Away1W 3D 6L(12-19)

Unknown

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 37'D. Marczuk (Sam Junqua)
  2. 43'Lineker Rodrigues
  3. 45+4'A. Katranis
  4. 46'Tiago (Daryl Dike)
  5. 46'M. Pasalic (J. Ellis)
  6. 46'Luis Otavio (J. Gerbet)
  7. 53'Daryl Dike
  8. 53'A. Griezmann
  9. 61'A. Hezarkhani (D. Luna)
  10. 62'D. Marczuk (S. Lobjanidze)
  11. 62'Victor Olatunji (M. Guilavogui)
  12. 67'Luca Moisa (Noel Caliskan)
  13. 69'Z. Taifi (T. Spicer)
  14. 71'K. Henry
  15. 77'A. Katranis (Juan Manuel Sanabria)
  16. 81'A. Griezmann
  17. 82'Eduard Atuesta
  18. 85'Eduard Atuesta (W. Cartagena)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Orlando City SCReal Salt Lake
1.4
Goals/game
1.8
2.0
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Orlando City SC win
47.59%
Draw
22.78%
Real Salt Lake win
29.63%
65.1%BTTS
65.1%Over 2.5
15%Orlando City SC clean sheet
23.5%Real Salt Lake clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Real Salt Lake has historically performed well against Orlando City SC, winning 4 of their last 5 matchups. With Orlando struggling at home, having lost 4 out of their last 5 encounters in their own stadium, the numbers favor Real Salt Lake in this matchup despite their recent poor form. Additionally, Real Salt Lake's current standing and goal differential are notably better than Orlando's.

  • Real Salt Lake unbeaten in last 5 matches against Orlando City SC
  • Orlando City SC has lost 4 of their last 5 home games
  • Real Salt Lake in a stronger position in the league standings
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
82/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Orlando City SC

  • Poor recent formOrlando City SC

    Orlando City SC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Strong home recordOrlando City SC

    Orlando City SC have won 5 of their last 11 home matches.

    5/11 home wins
  • Weak away recordReal Salt Lake

    Real Salt Lake have won 1 of their last 10 away matches.

    1/10 away wins
  • Sharper attackReal Salt Lake

    Real Salt Lake are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Orlando City SC at 47.59% — final result was Orlando City SC win, Orlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt Lake.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (82/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Orlando City SC2.01market 49.7% · model 47.59%
Real Salt Lake3.15market 31.7% · model 29.63%
Draw4.02market 24.9% · model 22.78%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Orlando City SC have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Real Salt Lake have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Orlando City SC wins
3Draws
2Real Salt Lake wins
8-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Orlando City SC2.01best 2.28
Draw4.02best 4.24
Real Salt Lake3.15best 3.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.40best 1.45
Under 2.52.86best 3.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.38best 1.44
No2.82best 3.00

Double chance

Orlando City SC/Draw1.34best 1.45
Orlando City SC/Real Salt Lake1.21best 1.25
Draw/Real Salt Lake1.77best 1.86

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.38best 4.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.19best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.88best 6.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.12best 1.12

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Orlando City SC2.01 0.28
Draw4.02 0.24
Real Salt Lake3.15 0.52
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Orlando City SC win+0.8pp
AI
47.59%
Market
46.8%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
22.78%
Market
23.4%
Real Salt Lake win-0.2pp
AI
29.63%
Market
29.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
9
Orlando City SC
217311-1724LDLW
8
Real Salt Lake
20848+228LDDL

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.8
2Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Orlando City SC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
50%

Real Salt Lake

0-15'
0%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
28.6%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
14.3%

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?+

Our AI model favors Orlando City SC to win, with a 47.59% probability (Draw 22.78%, Real Salt Lake 29.63%).

Where is Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake played?+

The match is played at Unknown.

What time does Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).