Oviedo vs Leganes
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo · Capacity 30,500 · grass · Referee: G. Etayo
Match events
- 19'I. Gharbi (Naim García)
- 24'Raúl Fernández
- 26'Yassine Kechta (Luca Zidane)
- 28'Chris Ramos
- 57'Y. Lachhab Didi (A. Isfan)
- 57'Juan Cruz (S. Rodriguez)
- 57'Nacho Vidal (A. Ahmed)
- 60'Naim García (Álex Millán)
- 60'Patrick Soko (Álex Millán)
- 61'I. Gharbi (Dani Rodriguez)
- 66'A. Isfan
- 79'Pablo Sáenz (Carlos Fernández)
- 79'Chris Ramos (V. Mingo)
- 82'Alberto Reina
- 86'Naim García (Rubén Peña)
Lineups
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 0.6
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests a slight advantage for Oviedo, particularly given their recent head-to-head dominance over Leganes, winning the last five encounters. Both teams enter this match with a similar recent form, but Oviedo's home advantage and stronger scoring history against Leganes likely make them the favorites in this matchup.
- Oviedo unbeaten in last 5 head-to-head matches against Leganes
- Oviedo has conceded only 1 goal in their last 2 home games against Leganes
- Leganes has a lower scoring average per match than Oviedo, with 0.6 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Both teams have struggled for goals recently, with Oviedo averaging 0.8 scored and Leganes averaging 0.6 scored in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Oviedo
- Historical edgeOviedo
Oviedo have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionLeganes
Leganes sit 13 places above Oviedo in the table.
#5 vs #18 - Poor recent formOviedo
Oviedo have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackOviedo
Oviedo are averaging 0.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Oviedo at 53% — final result was Leganes win, Oviedo 0-1 Leganes.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Oviedo have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Leganes have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Leganes
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AlmeriaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Oviedo vs Leganes?+
Our AI model favors Oviedo to win, with a 53% probability (Draw 29%, Leganes 18%).
Where is Oviedo vs Leganes played?+
The match is played at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo (capacity 30,500).
What time does Oviedo vs Leganes kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).