Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami
Match events
- 11'M. Iloski (F. Westfield)
- 11'Indiana Vassilev (F. Westfield)
- 21'D. Pinter (L. Suárez)
- 26'L. Messi (Ian Fray)
- 43'Kai Wagner
- 50'Sergio Reguilón
- 55'Ian Fray
- 58'N. Pierre (M. Iloski)
- 62'M. Iloski
- 62'Goal Disallowed - offside — M. Iloski
- 68'Indiana Vassilev (Quinn Sullivan)
- 73'Sergio Reguilón (N. Allen)
- 73'T. Segovia (D. Ayala)
- 82'B. Damiani (E. Alladoh)
- 82'Jesus Bueno (A. Bedoya)
- 87'M. Iloski
- 90+5'E. Alladoh
- 90+9'D. Pinter (David Ruiz)
- 90+13'C. Sullivan
- 90+13'Quinn Sullivan
Lineups
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 2.5
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-2
The numbers suggest a competitive matchup between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami, with their recent head-to-head favoring Inter Miami, having secured victories in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Philadelphia Union, while performing decently at home, has struggled against top teams, while Inter Miami boasts an impressive away record this season. Given the past results and current form, a high-scoring draw seems plausible.
- Inter Miami has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Philadelphia Union
- Philadelphia Union has a home record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses this season
- Inter Miami has a strong away record with 8 wins from 11 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Philadelphia Union
- Historical edgeInter Miami
Inter Miami have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionInter Miami
Inter Miami sit 11 places above Philadelphia Union in the table.
#2 vs #13 - Poor recent formInter Miami
Inter Miami have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Weak home recordPhiladelphia Union
Philadelphia Union have won 3 of their last 10 home matches.
3/10 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Philadelphia Union at 39% — final result was a draw, Philadelphia Union 2-2 Inter Miami.
Predicted score was 2-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Philadelphia Union have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Inter Miami have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Philadelphia Union
Inter MiamiInter MiamiPhiladelphia UnionInter MiamiPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionInter MiamiPhiladelphia UnionInter MiamiPhiladelphia UnionInter MiamiInter MiamiPhiladelphia UnionInter MiamiPhiladelphia UnionOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 21 | DWWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 39 | DLDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
F. Dujic
Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
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Who is likely to win Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?+
Our AI model favors Philadelphia Union to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 23%, Inter Miami 38%).
What time does Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).