Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków — Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 4

Piast Gliwice

3–4Full-time

Wieczysta Kraków

LDWLLDGoals 11-1114th in league

LLLLGoals 4-1517th in league

Home1W 1D 1L(8-8)

Away1W 0D 2L(7-8)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

6'Tobias Christensen
43'Matúš Vojtko
54'Ivan Lima (J. Eyenga-Lokilo)
60'L. Semedo (Miguel Villar Miki)
61'P. Pusic (Ben Lederman)
62'Tobias Christensen (Lucas Piazon)
64'Miguel Villar Miki
65'Jorge Félix (Leandro Sanca)
71'Tobias Christensen
74'Samuel Ntamack Ndimba (Ema Twumasi)
74'Filip Borowski (Andreas Katsantonis)
74'T. Mras (Christophe Lungoyi)
74'Oskar Lesniak (Oliwier Maziarz)
82'Tobias Christensen (Paulinho)
82'Matúš Vojtko (Karol Fila)
87'Oliwier Maziarz (J. Eyenga-Lokilo)
90+2'Leandro Sanca (Ema Twumasi)
90'J. Czerwiński

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Piast GliwiceWieczysta Kraków

1.1
Goals/game: 0.7; 1.1
Conceded/game: 2.5

AI match analysis

Piast Gliwice win

45%

Draw

28%

Wieczysta Kraków win

27%

49%BTTS

50.2%Over 2.5

41.3%Piast Gliwice clean sheet

16.5%Wieczysta Kraków clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Piast Gliwice has a favorable outlook given their recent head-to-head success, winning the last match against Wieczysta Kraków decisively. Additionally, Wieczysta Kraków's current form shows they have not secured any points yet, highlighting their struggle to compete away from home. Piast's home advantage and Wieczysta's difficulties could lead to a predicted score of 2-1 in favor of the home team.

Piast Gliwice won their last match against Wieczysta Kraków 4-0
Wieczysta Kraków is currently in 18th place with no points from 2 games
Piast Gliwice has a solid home record with 1 win from 1 match this season
Wieczysta Kraków has struggled, averaging only 0.4 goals scored in their last 5 matches.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

81/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Piast Gliwice

Weak home recordPiast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.
1/3 home wins
Weak away recordWieczysta Kraków
Wieczysta Kraków have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins
Historical edgePiast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins
Tighter defensePiast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Piast Gliwice at 45% — final result was Wieczysta Kraków win, Piast Gliwice 3-4 Wieczysta Kraków.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Piast Gliwice2.21market 45.3% · model 45%

Wieczysta Kraków ✓3.02market 33.1% · model 27%

Draw3.43market 29.2% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Piast Gliwice have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Wieczysta Kraków have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 6 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Piast Gliwice wins

0Draws

0Wieczysta Kraków wins

4-0Goals

Wieczysta Kraków

0–4Sep 26, 2023, 1:00 PM

Piast Gliwice

Odds comparison

Match winner

Piast Gliwice2.21▲best 2.27

Draw3.43▲best 3.64

Wieczysta Kraków3.02▼best 3.20

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.71▼best 1.80

Under 2.52.07▲best 2.19

Both teams to score

Yes1.59▼best 1.65

No2.22▲best 2.28

Double chance

Piast Gliwice/Draw1.35▲best 1.40

Piast Gliwice/Wieczysta Kraków1.27best 1.33

Draw/Wieczysta Kraków1.63▼best 1.70

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.31▲best 1.33

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25▼best 3.50

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20▲best 1.20

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.17▼best 4.33

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Piast Gliwice2.21▲ 0.04

Draw3.43▲ 0.03

Wieczysta Kraków3.02▼ 0.10

12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Piast Gliwice win+2.9pp

45%

Market

42.1%

Draw+0.9pp

28%

Market

27.1%

Wieczysta Kraków win-3.8pp

27%

Market

30.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.