Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charleston Battery — USL Championship

USL Championship· Group Stage

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

3–1Full-time

Charleston Battery

WWWDWLGoals 8-34th in league

DWWLWWGoals 21-82nd in league

Home6W 1D 4L(14-10)

Away3W 1D 7L(12-20)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

2'T. Amann (J. Wälti)
16'D. Griffin (T. Amann)
18'D. Martínez (N. Messer)
36'E. Ycaza
40'T. Amann
46'M. Foster (Miguel Berry)
60'Miguel Berry
61'V. Souza (S. Bassett)
62'M. Viera (P. Barnes)
62'T. Amann (Y. Tsukanome)
64'L. Kissiedou (K. Pakhomov)
64'C. Swan (A. Hughes)
64'N. Messer (N. Houssou)
66'A. Dikwa (B. Etou)
67'O. Mikoy
74'E. Goldthorp (C. Ahl)
74'D. Griffin (R. Mertz)
74'Joey Akpunonu (A. Cabrera)
78'D. Martínez
81'D. Martínez
81'D. Martínez
88'R. Mertz
90+1'Y. Tsukanome

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsCharleston Battery

0.8
Goals/game: 2.1; 0.3
Conceded/game: 0.8

AI match analysis

Pittsburgh Riverhounds win

36%

Draw

28%

Charleston Battery win

36%

38.5%BTTS

32.3%Over 2.5

30.1%Pittsburgh Riverhounds clean sheet

44.9%Charleston Battery clean sheet

Predicted score: 0-1

The analysis indicates a competitive matchup, with both teams showing similar implied probabilities of victory. Charleston Battery has been more successful in their recent encounters, boasting a stronger offensive record compared to Pittsburgh Riverhounds, who have struggled to score. With Pittsburgh's recent form heavily featuring draws and low goal-scoring matches, a narrow win for the away side appears plausible.

Charleston Battery unbeaten in last 3 matches
Pittsburgh Riverhounds have drawn 5 of their last 6 games
Pittsburgh Riverhounds average only 0.8 goals scored in last 10 matches
Charleston Battery has a better recent goal differential of +14

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

67/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Strong home recordPittsburgh Riverhounds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won 6 of their last 11 home matches.
6/11 home wins
Weak away recordCharleston Battery
Charleston Battery have won 3 of their last 11 away matches.
3/11 away wins
Sharper attackCharleston Battery
Charleston Battery are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game
Tighter defensePittsburgh Riverhounds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds are conceding just 0.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 36% — final result was Pittsburgh Riverhounds win, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 Charleston Battery.

Predicted score was 0-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Pittsburgh Riverhounds ✓2.54market 39.4% · model 36%

Charleston Battery2.57market 38.9% · model 36%

Draw3.18market 31.4% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Pittsburgh Riverhounds have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Charleston Battery have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Pittsburgh Riverhounds wins

2Draws

4Charleston Battery wins

7-8Goals

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1–2Aug 16, 2025, 11:00 PM

Charleston Battery

2–1Apr 12, 2025, 11:30 PM

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Charleston Battery

1–0Nov 2, 2024, 10:30 PM

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

2–0Oct 12, 2024, 11:00 PM

Charleston Battery

0–0Jun 8, 2024, 11:30 PM

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Charleston Battery

3–1Jul 22, 2023, 11:30 PM

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

2–0Jun 10, 2023, 11:00 PM

Charleston Battery

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

0–0Aug 31, 2022, 11:00 PM

Charleston Battery

Odds comparison

Match winner

Pittsburgh Riverhounds2.54▲best 2.67

Draw3.18▼best 3.35

Charleston Battery2.57best 2.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.98▼best 2.07

Under 2.51.76▲best 1.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.74▼best 1.83

No1.94▲best 2.00

Double chance

Pittsburgh Riverhounds/Draw1.43▲best 1.50

Pittsburgh Riverhounds/Charleston Battery1.27▲best 1.32

Draw/Charleston Battery1.44▼best 1.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25best 3.25

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33best 1.33

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Pittsburgh Riverhounds2.54▲ 0.02

Draw3.18▲ 0.03

Charleston Battery2.57▲ 0.06

15 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Pittsburgh Riverhounds win+0.1pp

36%

Market

35.9%

Draw-0.6pp

28%

Market

28.6%

Charleston Battery win+0.6pp

36%

Market

35.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.