Plymouth vs Stockport County

League One· Regular Season - 1
DWWWGoals 21-1022nd in league
WLLWGoals 21-163rd in league
Home0W 0D 1L(1-3)
Away1W 0D 0L(3-1)
Home Park

Home Park, Plymouth · Capacity 19,500 · grass · Referee: D. Rock

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 14'J. Diamond (Lewis Bate)
  2. 27'K. Wootton
  3. 38'J. McNulty
  4. 46'Alex Mitchell (Julio Pleguezuelo)
  5. 49'R. Glover (J. Diamond)
  6. 57'Matthew Sorinola (Xavier Amaechi)
  7. 60'Harry Wood (J. Adigun)
  8. 60'Ben Osborn (Adetayo Edun)
  9. 65'W. Evans (B. Ibrahim)
  10. 70'J. Diamond (B. Andresson)
  11. 70'R. Glover (R. Rydel)
  12. 74'Julio Pleguezuelo
  13. 79'Xavier Amaechi
  14. 82'Oliver Norwood (Lewis Fiorini)
  15. 89'Harvey White (B. Sarpong Wiredu)
  16. 90+4'Aribim Pepple
Lineups unavailable for this match.
PlymouthStockport County
2.1
Goals/game
2.1
1.0
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Plymouth win
44.97%
Draw
25.82%
Stockport County win
29.21%
66.4%BTTS
66%Over 2.5
21.2%Plymouth clean sheet
15.7%Stockport County clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Plymouth enters this match in strong form, having won four of their last five matches. While Stockport County has shown competitive results, they suffered a significant away loss in their last encounter. Plymouth's scoring average of 2.1 goals per game indicates they possess the offensive capability to secure a win against Stockport, reflected in their favorable head-to-head history.

  • Plymouth won 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Stockport lost their last away match 1-4
  • Plymouth averages 2.1 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
  • Plymouth has a historical edge over Stockport with a 4-2 victory in their last meeting
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Plymouth

  • Strong recent formPlymouth

    Plymouth are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Good recent formStockport County

    Stockport County have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Higher league positionStockport County

    Stockport County sit 19 places above Plymouth in the table.

    #3 vs #22
  • Sharper attackPlymouth

    Plymouth are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Plymouth at 44.97% — final result was Stockport County win, Plymouth 1-3 Stockport County.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Plymouth2.08market 48.1% · model 44.97%
Stockport County3.24market 30.9% · model 29.21%
Draw3.53market 28.3% · model 25.82%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Plymouth have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Stockport County have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Plymouth wins
0Draws
1Stockport County wins
5-4Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Plymouth2.08best 2.12
Draw3.53best 3.73
Stockport County3.24best 3.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.69best 1.72
Under 2.52.10best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.58best 1.62
No2.26best 2.55

Double chance

Plymouth/Draw1.32best 1.37
Plymouth/Stockport County1.26best 1.29
Draw/Stockport County1.69best 1.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18best 1.18
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Plymouth2.08 0.19
Draw3.53 0.13
Stockport County3.24 0.33
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Plymouth win+0.2pp
AI
44.97%
Market
44.8%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
25.82%
Market
26.4%
Stockport County win+0.4pp
AI
29.21%
Market
28.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
22
Plymouth
1001-20L
3
Stockport County
1100+23W

Pre-match comparison

2.1Goals scored per game2.1
1Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Rock

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.14Penalties scored / game

Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Plymouth

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

Stockport County

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More League One predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Plymouth vs Stockport County?+

Our AI model favors Plymouth to win, with a 44.97% probability (Draw 25.82%, Stockport County 29.21%).

Where is Plymouth vs Stockport County played?+

The match is played at Home Park, Plymouth (capacity 19,500).

What time does Plymouth vs Stockport County kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).