Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda

UEFA Europa League· Play-offs
Plzen
51After Extra Time
FK Crvena Zvezda
LDWLGoals 19-15
WLWWGoals 18-9
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 8'Prince Kwabena Adu (C. Souare)
  2. 11'M. Ivanic
  3. 51'Prince Kwabena Adu (Prince Kwabena Adu)
  4. 51'F. Tebo Uchenna
  5. 53'O. Bukari
  6. 57'D. Visinsky
  7. 60'M. Ivanic (M. Bajo)
  8. 63'P. Hrošovský (Lukáš Červ)
  9. 65'Marko Arnautović
  10. 67'Marko Arnautović (J. Enem)
  11. 72'T. Elšnik (Rodrigo)
  12. 72'Prince Kwabena Adu (T. Ladra)
  13. 72'K. Spacil (Matěj Vydra)
  14. 72'D. Visinsky (C. Kabongo)
  15. 80'C. Souare (Alexandr Sojka)
  16. 86'Lukáš Červ (B. Faal)
  17. 90+2'J. Enem
  18. 90+4'C. Kabongo
  19. 90+4'Rodrigo
  20. 91'Filip Prebsl (D. Krcik)
  21. 95'M. Cham (V. Lucic)
  22. 96'D. Krcik (C. Kabongo)
  23. 103'T. Ladra
  24. 104'D. Luckassen
  25. 105+3'V. Kostov
  26. 105'R. Krunic
  27. 108'V. Kostov
  28. 108'R. Krunic

Lineups

PlzenFK Crvena Zvezda
1.9
Goals/game
1.8
1.5
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Plzen win
45.75%
Draw
24.97%
FK Crvena Zvezda win
29.28%
60.9%BTTS
58.8%Over 2.5
19.2%Plzen clean sheet
24.7%FK Crvena Zvezda clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that FK Crvena Zvezda has a distinct advantage based on recent head-to-head performance, winning the last encounter comfortably. Plzen's recent form shows inconsistencies, suffering three defeats in their last five matches, while Crvena Zvezda has remained defensively solid with low goals conceded. With Crvena Zvezda averaging fewer goals allowed, they are statistically favored to score more and secure the win.

  • FK Crvena Zvezda won last matchup 3-0 against Plzen
  • Plzen has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • FK Crvena Zvezda averages only 0.9 goals conceded in their last 10 matches
  • Plzen averages 1.9 goals scored in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Plzen

  • Historical edgeFK Crvena Zvezda

    FK Crvena Zvezda have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.

    1/1 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseFK Crvena Zvezda

    FK Crvena Zvezda are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded
  • Good recent formFK Crvena Zvezda

    FK Crvena Zvezda have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackPlzen

    Plzen are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Plzen at 45.75% — final result was Plzen win, Plzen 5-1 FK Crvena Zvezda.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Plzen2.09market 47.9% · model 45.75%
FK Crvena Zvezda3.13market 32% · model 29.28%
Draw3.69market 27.1% · model 24.97%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Plzen have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Plzen wins
0Draws
1FK Crvena Zvezda wins
0-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Plzen2.09best 2.17
Draw3.69best 4.05
FK Crvena Zvezda3.13best 3.26

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.51best 1.57
Under 2.52.43best 2.59

Both teams to score

Yes1.46best 1.50
No2.53best 2.75

Double chance

Plzen/Draw1.34best 1.40
Plzen/FK Crvena Zvezda1.24best 1.29
Draw/FK Crvena Zvezda1.69best 1.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.17

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Plzen2.09 0.01
Draw3.69 0.10
FK Crvena Zvezda3.13 0.03
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Plzen win+1pp
AI
45.75%
Market
44.8%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
24.97%
Market
25.3%
FK Crvena Zvezda win-0.6pp
AI
29.28%
Market
29.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1.8
1.5Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Plzen

0-15'
55.6%
16-30'
11.1%
31-45'
11.1%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
0%

FK Crvena Zvezda

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
37.5%
46-60'
37.5%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
12.5%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?+

Our AI model favors Plzen to win, with a 45.75% probability (Draw 24.97%, FK Crvena Zvezda 29.28%).

What time does Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).