FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen

UEFA Europa League· Play-offs
FK Crvena Zvezda
30Full-time
Plzen
LWLWGoals 19-10
WLDWGoals 19-12
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'Young-woo Seol
  2. 36'Mirko Ivanić (T. Elšnik)
  3. 45+3'Cheick Souaré
  4. 46'Cheick Souaré (Christophe Kabongo)
  5. 53'Mirko Ivanić (T. Elšnik)
  6. 61'T. Ladra (S. Pirgic)
  7. 72'M. Arnautović (Jay Enem)
  8. 72'Mirko Ivanić (A. Katai)
  9. 73'Prince Kwabena Adu (M. Vydra)
  10. 73'F. Prebsl (Denis Višinský)
  11. 77'P. Hrošovský
  12. 81'Vasilije Kostov
  13. 84'Sampson Dweh
  14. 85'Vasilije Kostov (Mahmudu Bajo)
  15. 85'Derrick Luckassen (Franklin Tebo)
  16. 86'D. Krcik (Karel Spáčil)
  17. 87'Karel Spáčil
  18. 88'A. Katai
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzen
1.9
Goals/game
1.9
1.0
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda win
52%
Draw
25%
Plzen win
23%
60.3%BTTS
57.7%Over 2.5
23.5%FK Crvena Zvezda clean sheet
21.2%Plzen clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests a competitive match between FK Crvena Zvezda and Plzen, with both teams displaying inconsistent recent form. FK Crvena Zvezda has struggled at home, losing three of their last five fixtures, while Plzen's ability to score multiple goals in recent games highlights their offensive strength. The numbers favor a close contest, but a slight edge goes to the home side, reflected in the projected scoreline.

  • FK Crvena Zvezda has lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Plzen has scored 3 or more goals in 2 of their last 5 matches.
  • Plzen's recent xG average of 2.49 suggests their attacking potential.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
69/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FK Crvena Zvezda

  • Sharper attackPlzen

    Plzen are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FK Crvena Zvezda at 52% — final result was FK Crvena Zvezda win, FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Plzen.

Predicted score was 2-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

FK Crvena Zvezda1.79market 55.8% · model 52%
Draw3.83market 26.1% · model 25%
Plzen3.94market 25.4% · model 23%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FK Crvena Zvezda have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Plzen have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

FK Crvena Zvezda1.79best 1.85
Draw3.83best 4.15
Plzen3.94best 4.35

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.61best 1.73
Under 2.52.28best 2.42

Both teams to score

Yes1.57best 1.67
No2.27best 2.40

Double chance

FK Crvena Zvezda/Draw1.23best 1.27
FK Crvena Zvezda/Plzen1.24best 1.27
Draw/Plzen1.96best 2.05

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.17
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FK Crvena Zvezda1.79 0.09
Draw3.83 0.05
Plzen3.94 0.24
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

FK Crvena Zvezda win0pp
AI
52%
Market
52%
Draw+0.7pp
AI
25%
Market
24.3%
Plzen win-0.6pp
AI
23%
Market
23.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1.9
1Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

FK Crvena Zvezda

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
40%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
0%

Plzen

0-15'
55.6%
16-30'
11.1%
31-45'
11.1%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
0%

More UEFA Europa League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen?+

Our AI model favors FK Crvena Zvezda to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 25%, Plzen 23%).

What time does FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).