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Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow

Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 5
Pogon Szczecin
2–2Full-time
Wisla Krakow
WWLWGoals 23-175th in league
WWLLGoals 18-227th in league
Home1W 1D 1L(5-4)
Away0W 1D 2L(6-8)
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin · Capacity 21,163 · grass · Referee: D. Kos

Value found

+0.1% edge

Pogon Szczecin win

2.13AI fair odds
2.13Bookmaker odds
+0.1%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 3'M. Juwara (M. Wojciechowski)
  2. 11'Jordi Sánchez
  3. 14'D. Keramitsis
  4. 20'M. Juwara
  5. 20'M. Bozic (James Igbekeme)
  6. 24'Linus Wahlqvist
  7. 33'Thody Elie Youan
  8. 46'Linus Wahlqvist (H. Ali)
  9. 60'Jean-Pierre Nsame (F. Cuic)
  10. 60'M. Juwara (D. Churlinov)
  11. 72'Thody Elie Youan (A. Rodado)
  12. 72'D. Grujcic (Maxence Maisonneuve)
  13. 72'P. Mukairu (Kamil Grosicki)
  14. 73'Maxence Maisonneuve
  15. 81'Jordi Sánchez (Jérémy Guillemenot)
  16. 81'Julius Ertlthaler (M. Kuziemka)
  17. 83'M. Wojciechowski (Kellyn Acosta)
  18. 86'P. Dziczek
  19. 89'Kamil Grosicki

Lineups

Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Krakow
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
77
77. V. Cojocaru
4
4. Leonardo Borges
29. Lukas Willen
13
13. D. Keramitsis
← 46'
28. Linus Wahlqvist
16
16. P. Dziczek
8
8. F. Ulvestad
18
← 72'
18. P. Mukairu
7
← 60'
7. M. Juwara
35
← 83'
35. M. Wojciechowski
← 60'
17. Jean-Pierre Nsame
11
← 81'
11. Jordi Sánchez
17
17. M. Bozic
41
41. Kacper Duda
← 72'
27. Thody Elie Youan
12. James Igbekeme
← 81'
7. Julius Ertlthaler
52
52. Jakub Krzyżanowski
29
← 72'
29. D. Grujcic
6
6. A. Uryga
34. Raoul Giger
1
1. Marcel Łubik
Oscar Garcia JunyentCoachMariusz Jop
Bench (12)
Bench (9)
Pogon SzczecinWisla Krakow
2.3
Goals/game
1.8
1.7
Conceded/game
2.2

AI match analysis

Pogon Szczecin win
46.92%
Draw
26.35%
Wisla Krakow win
26.72%
73.9%BTTS
76.2%Over 2.5
17.4%Pogon Szczecin clean sheet
10.5%Wisla Krakow clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests Pogon Szczecin holds a slight advantage heading into this match, evidenced by their recent form of three wins in five matches. Meanwhile, Wisla Krakow has struggled on the road this season, losing both their away games. Historically, Pogon has had success against Wisla, including a recent 4-1 home victory.

  • Pogon Szczecin has won 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Wisla Krakow has lost both of their away games this season
  • Pogon Szczecin has a strong home goal average of 2.3 goals scored per game
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
84/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Pogon Szczecin

  • Weak home recordPogon Szczecin

    Pogon Szczecin have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.

    1/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordWisla Krakow

    Wisla Krakow have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.

    0/3 away wins
  • Good recent formPogon Szczecin

    Pogon Szczecin have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formWisla Krakow

    Wisla Krakow have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Pogon Szczecin at 46.92% — final result was a draw, Pogon Szczecin 2-2 Wisla Krakow.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (84/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Pogon Szczecin2.13market 46.9% · model 46.92%
Wisla Krakow3.07market 32.6% · model 26.72%
Draw ✓3.55market 28.2% · model 26.35%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Pogon Szczecin have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Wisla Krakow have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Pogon Szczecin wins
1Draws
3Wisla Krakow wins
13-10Goals
Pogon Szczecin
1–2May 2, 2024, 2:00 PM
Wisla Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
4–1Mar 18, 2022, 7:30 PM
Wisla Krakow
Wisla Krakow
0–1Sep 26, 2021, 3:30 PM
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Krakow
2–1Feb 19, 2021, 7:30 PM
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
2–2Sep 13, 2020, 1:00 PM
Wisla Krakow
Wisla Krakow
1–0Dec 13, 2019, 7:30 PM
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
1–0Aug 10, 2019, 1:00 PM
Wisla Krakow
Wisla Krakow
2–3Mar 3, 2019, 2:30 PM
Pogon Szczecin

Odds comparison

Match winner

Pogon Szczecin2.13▲best 2.44
Draw3.55▲best 3.74
Wisla Krakow3.07▼best 3.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.58▼best 1.62
Under 2.52.29▲best 2.44

Both teams to score

Yes1.49▼best 1.53
No2.43▲best 2.55

Double chance

Pogon Szczecin/Draw1.34best 1.44
Pogon Szczecin/Wisla Krakow1.27▼best 1.30
Draw/Wisla Krakow1.67best 1.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50▼best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.19▲best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.65▼best 3.80
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.28

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Pogon Szczecin2.13▼ 0.17
Draw3.55▲ 0.05
Wisla Krakow3.07▲ 0.21
20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Pogon Szczecin win+3.4pp
AI
46.92%
Market
43.5%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
26.35%
Market
26.2%
Wisla Krakow win-3.6pp
AI
26.72%
Market
30.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Pogon Szczecin
4211+37DWWL
7
Wisla Krakow
521207LWLW

Pre-match comparison

2.3Goals scored per game1.8
1.7Goals conceded per game2.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Kos

6Yellow cards / game
0.33Red cards / game
0.5Penalties scored / game

Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Pogon Szczecin

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Wisla Krakow

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
16.7%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow?+

Our AI model favors Pogon Szczecin to win, with a 46.92% probability (Draw 26.35%, Wisla Krakow 26.72%).

Where is Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow played?+

The match is played at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin (capacity 21,163).

What time does Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).