Portimonense vs Vizela
Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão · Capacity 9,544 · grass · Referee: H. Carvalho
Match events
- 24'Luís Rocha
- 32'Angel Bastunov (A. Hristov)
- 34'Edney (João Reis)
- 46'Thio (Miguel Tavares)
- 47'R. Ramos
- 56'Giovani Bamba (Neto)
- 56'R. Ramos (Jojo)
- 57'Y. Fortune (Manu Garrido)
- 58'Neto
- 62'D. Djassi (Welinton)
- 70'Duda (Y. da Rocha)
- 70'J. D. Pancadas Casimiro (G. Aguas)
- 73'Y. da Rocha (Edney)
- 86'Mamede (Thauan Lara)
- 86'Edney (Paulinho)
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 0.5
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The numbers suggest a closely contested match between Portimonense and Vizela, with both teams currently in decent form, each winning their most recent match. Historically, their meetings have been quite competitive with multiple draws indicating a balanced matchup. The statistical averages show Portimonense scoring slightly more than Vizela, while both teams have similar defensive records, contributing to an anticipated low-scoring affair.
- Portimonense unbeaten in last 5 matches
- Vizela unbeaten in last 5 matches
- Head-to-head history shows multiple draws
- Both teams have similar standings and recent form
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Vizela
- Sharper attackPortimonense
Portimonense are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game - Tighter defensePortimonense
Portimonense are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Higher league positionPortimonense
Portimonense sit 5 places above Vizela in the table.
#4 vs #9
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Vizela at 43.4% — final result was Portimonense win, Portimonense 2-0 Vizela.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (79/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Portimonense have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Vizela have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Vizela
PortimonensePortimonenseVizelaPortimonenseVizelaVizelaPortimonensePortimonenseVizelaVizelaPortimonenseVizelaPortimonensePortimonenseVizelaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Portimonense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Vizela | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
H. Carvalho
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Portimonense
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Leixoes
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TorreenseVizelaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Portimonense vs Vizela?+
Our AI model favors Vizela to win, with a 43.4% probability (Draw 28.93%, Portimonense 27.67%).
Where is Portimonense vs Vizela played?+
The match is played at Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão (capacity 9,544).
What time does Portimonense vs Vizela kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).