Portland Timbers vs San Diego
Match events
- 17'A. Lassiter
- 29'K. Velde (Cole Bassett)
- 45+1'Gabriel Pirani (Lewis Morgan)
- 51'A. Lassiter (J. Fory)
- 59'O. Valakari (A. Alvarado)
- 59'A. Mighten (M. Achouri)
- 62'Brandon Bye (Eric Miller)
- 68'D. Da Costa (K. Velde)
- 74'K. Velde (Antony)
- 74'Cole Bassett (J. Ortiz)
- 74'K. Sargeant (L. Bombino)
- 74'D. Þórhallsson (O. Verhoeven)
- 74'M. Ingvartsen (Amahl Pellegrino)
- 83'A. Lassiter (V. Janssen)
- 83'D. Da Costa (D. Chará)
- 90+1'O. Verhoeven
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 2.2
- 2.1
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-2
The data suggests a competitive match as both teams have similar points but differing recent form. San Diego has historically performed well against the Timbers, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters. Portland's recent defensive struggles, averaging 2.2 goals conceded per match, could play a crucial role in the outcome, potentially leading to a high-scoring draw.
- San Diego unbeaten in last 5 head-to-head matches against Portland Timbers
- Portland Timbers have conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last 10 matches
- San Diego has scored an average of 2.3 goals in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Portland Timbers
- Poor recent formPortland Timbers
Portland Timbers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Good recent formSan Diego
San Diego have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Tighter defenseSan Diego
San Diego are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded - Historical edgeSan Diego
San Diego have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Portland Timbers at 49% — final result was Portland Timbers win, Portland Timbers 3-1 San Diego.
Predicted score was 2-2.
This was a high confidence pick (83/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Portland Timbers have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- San Diego have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 | WLWW |
| 11 |  San Diego | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 | LWDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. Vazquez
Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Portland Timbers
San Diego
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Portland Timbers vs San Diego?+
Our AI model favors Portland Timbers to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 22%, San Diego 29%).
What time does Portland Timbers vs San Diego kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 2:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).