Portsmouth vs QPR
Fratton Park, Portsmouth · Capacity 20,821 · grass · Referee: W. Finnie
Match events
- 15'T. Devlin (Ebou Adams)
- 20'B. Kemper (Kealey Adamson)
- 25'Ronnie Edwards
- 33'I. Chair (H. Vale)
- 40'Koki Saito (I. Chair)
- 45+2'I. Chair (Amadou Salif Mbengue)
- 46'Luke Brooke-Smith (Ryan Kavuma-McQueen)
- 58'Koki Saito (Paul Smyth)
- 58'K. Poku (G. Kamara)
- 65'Abu Kamara (J. Murphy)
- 72'Z. Swanson (Benjamin Arthur)
- 72'R. Poole (Marko Milovanović)
- 74'Amadou Salif Mbengue (Jonathan Varane)
- 75'R. Burrell (Alfie Lloyd)
- 84'Ebou Adams (O. Bailey)
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup between Portsmouth and QPR, with Portsmouth having a slight historical edge, winning two of their last five encounters. However, both teams have struggled recently, with QPR particularly weak away from home. The numbers suggest a closely contested game, likely ending in a draw given both teams' scoring averages.
- Portsmouth won 2 of the last 5 meetings against QPR
- Portsmouth has a mixed recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches
- QPR has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Both teams averaged over 1.5 goals per game in their recent matches
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Portsmouth
- Higher league positionQPR
QPR sit 5 places above Portsmouth in the table.
#5 vs #10 - Poor recent formQPR
QPR have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Sharper attackQPR
QPR are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game - Tighter defenseQPR
QPR are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Portsmouth at 38% — final result was QPR win, Portsmouth 1-3 QPR.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Portsmouth have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- QPR have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WL |
| 5 |  QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
W. Finnie
Based on 16 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Portsmouth
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SwanseaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Portsmouth vs QPR?+
Our AI model favors Portsmouth to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 30%, QPR 32%).
Where is Portsmouth vs QPR played?+
The match is played at Fratton Park, Portsmouth (capacity 20,821).
What time does Portsmouth vs QPR kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).