QPR vs Bolton

Championship· Regular Season - 2
QPR
00Full-time
Bolton
LLLWGoals 16-155th in league
WWLWGoals 19-138th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(0-0)
Away0W 1D 0L(0-0)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 45+1'Thierry Gale
Lineups unavailable for this match.
QPRBolton
1.6
Goals/game
1.9
1.5
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

QPR win
51%
Draw
25%
Bolton win
24%
62.6%BTTS
61%Over 2.5
18.3%QPR clean sheet
23.5%Bolton clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests a competitive match with both teams demonstrating solid starts to the season. QPR's home advantage and slight historical edge against Bolton, along with their recent scoring form, point towards a potential home victory. However, Bolton's strong recent form and defense could keep the scoreline close.

  • QPR ranked 1st in the league after one match, suggesting a strong start to the season
  • Bolton ranked 3rd with good recent form, having won their last game
  • Historically, QPR has edge with a 2-1 record over Bolton in their last 5 encounters
  • QPR's last 10 matches show a slight edge in scoring, averaging 1.6 goals per game.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
88/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors QPR

  • Poor recent formQPR

    QPR have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Good recent formBolton

    Bolton have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Historical edgeQPR

    QPR have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackBolton

    Bolton are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked QPR at 51% — final result was a draw, QPR 0-0 Bolton.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (88/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

QPR1.88market 53.1% · model 51%
Draw3.59market 27.8% · model 25%
Bolton3.88market 25.7% · model 24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • QPR have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Bolton have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5QPR wins
2Draws
1Bolton wins
14-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

QPR1.88best 1.93
Draw3.59best 3.83
Bolton3.88best 4.10

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.87best 1.91
Under 2.51.91best 1.98

Both teams to score

Yes1.75best 1.80
No1.98best 2.02

Double chance

QPR/Draw1.24best 1.28
QPR/Bolton1.26best 1.29
Draw/Bolton1.89best 1.93

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18best 1.18
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.42best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.43best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

QPR1.88
Draw3.59 0.06
Bolton3.88 0.18
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

QPR win+1.2pp
AI
51%
Market
49.8%
Draw-1.1pp
AI
25%
Market
26.1%
Bolton win-0.1pp
AI
24%
Market
24.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
QPR
2110+24DW
8
Bolton
2110+14DW

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.9
1.5Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

E. Duckworth

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

QPR

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Bolton

0-15'
50%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win QPR vs Bolton?+

Our AI model favors QPR to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 25%, Bolton 24%).

What time does QPR vs Bolton kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).