Racing Club vs Boca Juniors

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 6
LLLWGoals 9-68th in league
DWDWGoals 18-52nd in league
Home2W 3D 2L(7-7)
Away5W 1D 2L(14-6)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'A. Costa
  2. 6'Penalty confirmed — E. Cannavo
  3. 9'Marcos Rojo
  4. 10'M. Martinez
  5. 28'Miguel Merentiel (L. Flores)
  6. 41'E. Cannavo
  7. 41'L. Perez
  8. 46'A. Costa (F. Herrera)
  9. 55'M. Delgado (T. Belmonte)
  10. 55'E. Torres (F. Fraga)
  11. 56'G. Lodico (Matías Zaracho)
  12. 62'L. Flores (S. Villa)
  13. 73'T. Conechny (A. Campo)
  14. 73'M. Miljevic (Duván Vergara)
  15. 75'T. Belmonte
  16. 76'I. Rodriguez (Pacha)
  17. 77'Miguel Merentiel (Enner Valencia)
  18. 77'C. Rey Domenech (A. Velasco)
  19. 79'L. Perez
  20. 83'I. Rodriguez (Pacha)

Lineups

Racing ClubBoca Juniors
0.9
Goals/game
1.8
0.6
Conceded/game
0.5

AI match analysis

Racing Club win
28%
Draw
32%
Boca Juniors win
40%
35.2%BTTS
29.6%Over 2.5
30.1%Racing Club clean sheet
49.7%Boca Juniors clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Boca Juniors, currently ranked 2nd, has a strong away record with 5 wins out of 8 this season, which contributes to their favorable position. Historically, Racing Club has performed well against Boca Juniors recently, yet their current struggle at home could hinder their chances. The recent form of both teams indicates Boca Juniors may capitalize on their scoring ability, predicting a slight edge in favor of the away side in this matchup.

  • Boca Juniors unbeaten in last 8 away matches
  • Racing Club has lost 2 of their last 3 home games
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches favor Racing Club with 2 wins
  • Boca Juniors averages 1.8 goals scored per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
73/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Boca Juniors

  • Higher league positionBoca Juniors

    Boca Juniors sit 6 places above Racing Club in the table.

    #2 vs #8
  • Weak home recordRacing Club

    Racing Club have won 2 of their last 7 home matches.

    2/7 home wins
  • Strong away recordBoca Juniors

    Boca Juniors have won 5 of their last 8 away matches.

    5/8 away wins
  • Sharper attackBoca Juniors

    Boca Juniors are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Boca Juniors at 40% — final result was a draw, Racing Club 1-1 Boca Juniors.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Boca Juniors2.47market 40.5% · model 40%
Draw2.90market 34.5% · model 32%
Racing Club3.15market 31.7% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Racing Club have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Boca Juniors have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Racing Club wins
4Draws
1Boca Juniors wins
7-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Racing Club3.15best 3.40
Draw2.90best 3.05
Boca Juniors2.47best 2.54

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.60best 2.70
Under 2.51.48best 1.52

Both teams to score

Yes2.06best 2.15
No1.69best 1.73

Double chance

Racing Club/Draw1.52best 1.55
Racing Club/Boca Juniors1.38best 1.42
Draw/Boca Juniors1.34best 1.38

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.88best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.38best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.50best 1.53
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.42best 2.45

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Racing Club3.15 0.09
Draw2.90 0.02
Boca Juniors2.47 0.04
21 Aug24 Aug

Model vs market

Racing Club win-1.7pp
AI
28%
Market
29.7%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
32%
Market
32.3%
Boca Juniors win+2.1pp
AI
40%
Market
37.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Racing Club
16565+221LLLD
2
Boca Juniors
16862+1330DDWD

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.8
0.6Goals conceded per game0.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

N. Ramirez

7Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Racing Club

0-15'
50%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Boca Juniors

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?+

Our AI model favors Boca Juniors to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 32%, Racing Club 28%).

What time does Racing Club vs Boca Juniors kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).