Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin — Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 5

Radomiak Radom

0–0Full-time

Zaglebie Lubin

DDLLDLGoals 12-2016th in league

WWLWLWGoals 15-136th in league

Home1W 1D 1L(3-4)

Away0W 1D 1L(1-3)

Match events

46'S. Kerk (Jakub Kolan)
46'J. Ćorluka (Roman Yakuba)
60'Filip Szymczak (Kamil Nowogoński)
64'R. Lumungo (Romário Baró)
64'Fernand Gouré (Abdoul Tapsoba)
70'Jakub Sypek (M. Mlinarić)
72'Abdoul Tapsoba
79'C. Nunnely (Manu)
79'Luquinhas (Kacper Karasek)
80'Damian Dąbrowski
85'Damian Dąbrowski (Michalis Kosidis)
90+2'Mateusz Grzybek
90'C. Donis (Ibrahima Camará)

Lineups

Radomiak Radom

Zaglebie Lubin

4-1-4-1

4-1-3-2

Tomasz KaczmarekCoach

Leszek Ojrzynski

AI match analysis

Radomiak Radom win

39%

Draw

29%

Zaglebie Lubin win

32%

59%BTTS

57.7%Over 2.5

17.4%Radomiak Radom clean sheet

28.7%Zaglebie Lubin clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Zaglebie Lubin has historically performed well against Radomiak Radom, winning their last two meetings. Radomiak is struggling with form, having lost four of their last five matches, while Zaglebie possesses a slightly better recent form with two wins. The statistical analysis indicates that Zaglebie Lubin may find success, likely leading to a predicted score of 2-1 in their favor.

Zaglebie Lubin won the last 2 matches against Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
Zaglebie Lubin has a better recent form with 2 wins in their last 5
Radomiak Radom has a goal difference of -8 this season

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

73/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Radomiak Radom

Weak home recordRadomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.
1/3 home wins
Weak away recordZaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins
Historical edgeZaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins
Higher league positionZaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin sit 10 places above Radomiak Radom in the table.
#6 vs #16

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Radomiak Radom at 39% — final result was a draw, Radomiak Radom 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Radomiak Radom2.44market 41.1% · model 39%

Zaglebie Lubin2.80market 35.7% · model 32%

Draw ✓3.25market 30.8% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Radomiak Radom have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Zaglebie Lubin have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Radomiak Radom wins

0Draws

6Zaglebie Lubin wins

8-17Goals

Radomiak Radom

0–2Sep 25, 2025, 3:30 PM

Zaglebie Lubin

Radomiak Radom

0–1Apr 5, 2025, 12:45 PM

Zaglebie Lubin

1–0Sep 29, 2024, 10:15 AM

Radomiak Radom

3–4Apr 28, 2024, 10:30 AM

Zaglebie Lubin

2–3Oct 29, 2023, 11:30 AM

Radomiak Radom

0–1Mar 6, 2023, 6:00 PM

Zaglebie Lubin

0–1Aug 21, 2022, 1:00 PM

Radomiak Radom

1–6May 6, 2022, 4:00 PM

Zaglebie Lubin

Odds comparison

Match winner

Radomiak Radom2.44▲best 2.63

Draw3.25▼best 3.45

Zaglebie Lubin2.80▼best 3.09

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.88▲best 1.98

Under 2.51.87▼best 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes1.68▼best 1.73

No2.07▼best 2.20

Double chance

Radomiak Radom/Draw1.40▲best 1.47

Radomiak Radom/Zaglebie Lubin1.31▲best 1.35

Draw/Zaglebie Lubin1.52▼best 1.57

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25▼best 1.25

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.70▲best 3.75

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.40

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.31best 1.33

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Radomiak Radom2.44▲ 0.10

Draw3.25▼ 0.03

Zaglebie Lubin2.80▼ 0.09

20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Radomiak Radom win+0.8pp

AI

39%

Market

38.2%

Draw+0.3pp

AI

29%

Market

28.7%

Zaglebie Lubin win-1.2pp

AI

32%

Market

33.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
16	Radomiak Radom	5	1	1	3	-8	4	DLLLW
6	Zaglebie Lubin	4	2	1	1	+1	7	DWLW

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.5

2Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Radomiak Radom

0-15'

0%

16-30'

0%

31-45'

0%

46-60'

0%

61-75'

100%

76-90+'

0%

Zaglebie Lubin

0-15'

0%

16-30'

0%

31-45'

0%

46-60'

50%

61-75'

0%

76-90+'

50%

Match statistics

60%Possession40%

0.78Expected goals (xG)1.24

3Shots on target2

18Total shots9

10Shots off target5

5Blocked shots2

7Shots inside the box5

11Shots outside the box4

10Corners2

0Offsides1

14Fouls14

1Yellow cards2

—Red cards—

2Goalkeeper saves3

458Total passes295

377Accurate passes208

82%Pass accuracy71%

Player ratings

1Filip KoperskiRadomiak Radom7.9
2Zié OuattaraRadomiak Radom7.7
3Zlatan AlomerovićZaglebie Lubin7.3
4S. KerkZaglebie Lubin7.3
5LuquinhasRadomiak Radom7.3
6Mateusz GrzybekZaglebie Lubin🟨7.3

Box score

Radomiak Radom

24Zié OuattaraD · 90'

7.7

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes61%

Tackles3

Duels64%

11Fernand GouréF · 64'

6.3

More stats

Shots0/2 on target

Passes7%

Tackles—

Duels57%

7

7C. NunnelyM · 79'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes15%

Tackles—

Duels20%

27

27R. Wolski (C)M · 90'

7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes34%

Tackles2

Duels56%

72Filip KoperskiD · 90'

7.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes44%

Tackles3

Duels71%

1Filip MajchrowiczG · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes19%

Tackles—

Duels—

3Kryspin SzcześniakD · 90'

7.0

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes45%

Tackles—

Duels25%

13Jan GrzesikD · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots0/4 on target

Passes32%

Tackles—

Duels30%

82LuquinhasM · 79'

7.3

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes32%

Tackles1

Duels62%

77

77C. DonisM · 89'

6.9

More stats

Shots0/2 on target

Passes64%

Tackles1

Duels55%

90Ronaldo LumungoM · 64'

6.9

More stats

Shots2/2 on target

Passes7%

Tackles1

Duels44%

Bench (9)

8Ibrahima CamaráM · 1'

—

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels—

15Abdoul TapsobaF · 26'

🟨6.5

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels33%

18ManuF · 11'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels0%

23Kacper KarasekM · 11'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels100%

99Bartlomiej GradeckiG

—

28

28Romário BaróM · 26'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes13%

Tackles1

Duels25%

5Jérémy BlascoD

—

33Oskar MarkiewiczD

—

44Wiktor KoptasG

—

Zaglebie Lubin

33Zlatan AlomerovićG · 90'

7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes26%

Tackles—

Duels100%

18Filip SzymczakF · 60'

6.2

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes9%

Tackles1

Duels45%

16

16J. ĆorlukaD · 45'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes9%

Tackles—

Duels67%

37

37S. KerkM · 45'

7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes11%

Tackles1

Duels50%

8Damian Dąbrowski (C)M · 85'

🟨6.7

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes19%

Tackles—

Duels14%

5Aleks ŁawniczakD · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes20%

Tackles1

Duels63%

13Mateusz GrzybekD · 90'

🟨7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes21%

Tackles4

Duels55%

7Jakub SypekF · 70'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes8%

Tackles—

Duels30%

39Filip KocabaM · 90'

7.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes18%

Tackles3

Duels50%

44Marcel RegulaM · 90'

6.5

More stats

Shots2/3 on target

Passes12%

Tackles4

Duels48%

4

4D. MichalskiD · 90'

7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes29%

Tackles—

Duels60%

Bench (12)

1

1J. BurićG

—

11Arkadiusz WozniakM

—

31Igor OrlikowskiD

—

88

88M. MlinarićF · 20'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes2%

Tackles—

Duels0%

26Jakub KolanM · 45'

7.0

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes8%

Tackles2

Duels43%

9Michalis KosidisF · 9'

6.2

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes—

Tackles—

Duels0%

20Mateusz DziewiatowskiM

—

38Szymon KarasinskiD

—

3Roman YakubaD · 45'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes10%

Tackles—

Duels67%

94Maciej UrbańskiD

—

71Kamil NowogońskiM · 30'

7.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes6%

Tackles1

Duels83%

19Szymon ŁyczkoM

—

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?+

Our AI model favors Radomiak Radom to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 29%, Zaglebie Lubin 32%).

What time does Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 12:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).