Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | — | 6 | 11 | 1 |
 Chiba Lotte Marines | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests a competitive matchup between the Rakuten Gold. Eagles and Chiba Lotte Marines, with the Eagles showing slightly better form and home advantage. The Eagles have a home win rate of 45% and have scored more runs on average than the Marines in recent games. Historically, the Eagles have edged the recent head-to-heads, winning 2 out of the last 5 encounters against the Marines.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have a home win rate of 45% this season.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have a lower away win rate of 35%.
- Eagles scored an average of 3.5 runs in their last 10 games, while Marines scored only 2.2 runs on average.
- Historically, the last five matchups saw the Eagles winning 2 of the last 5 against the Marines.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rakuten Gold. Eagles
- Poor recent formRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Poor recent formChiba Lotte Marines
Chiba Lotte Marines have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Sharper attackRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles are averaging 3.5 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.5/game - Tighter defenseRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles are conceding just 4 runs per game over their recent matches.
4/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rakuten Gold. Eagles at 58% — final result was Rakuten Gold. Eagles win, Rakuten Gold. Eagles 6-2 Chiba Lotte Marines.
Predicted score was 4-3.
This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 3.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have averaged 3.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Chiba Lotte Marines.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | Chiba Lotte Marines |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.03▼ | 1.34▲ |
| -2 | 2.79▼ | 1.39▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.29▼ | 1.59▲ |
| -1 | 1.87▼ | 1.79▲ |
| -0.5 | 1.60▼ | 2.21▲ |
| +0.5 | 1.54▼ | 2.34▲ |
| +1 | 1.38▼ | 2.67▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.34▼ | 2.97▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.42▼ | 2.71▲ |
| 6 | 1.45▼ | 2.54▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.60▼ | 2.20▲ |
| 7 | 1.75▼ | 1.96▲ |
| 7.5 | 2.00▼ | 1.75▲ |
| 8 | 2.16▼ | 1.62▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.39▼ | 1.53▲ |
| 9 | 2.74▼ | 1.36 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Rakuten Gold. EaglesChiba Lotte MarinesRakuten Gold. EaglesChiba Lotte MarinesChiba Lotte MarinesRakuten Gold. EaglesChiba Lotte MarinesRakuten Gold. EaglesRakuten Gold. EaglesChiba Lotte MarinesLeague standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 117 | 67 | 50 | +71 | 57 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 119 | 63 | 56 | +25 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 118 | 54 | 64 | +7 | 46 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 117 | 52 | 65 | -75 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Hiroshima Carp | 114 | 47 | 67 | -78 | 41 | — |
| 6 |  Chunichi Dragons | 121 | 51 | 70 | -8 | 42 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 118 | 73 | 45 | +183 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 121 | 69 | 52 | +41 | 57 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 121 | 67 | 54 | +67 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 120 | 57 | 63 | -73 | 48 | — |
| 5 | Chiba Lotte Marines | 115 | 52 | 63 | -74 | 45 | — |
| 6 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 117 | 45 | 72 | -86 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Yakult SwallowsHanshin TigersRakuten Gold. EaglesOrix BuffaloesYomiuri GiantsYokohama BayStarsChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Our AI model favors Rakuten Gold. Eagles to win, with a 58% probability (Chiba Lotte Marines 42%).
What time does Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines start?+
First pitch is at Aug 18, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2. Chiba Lotte Marines: 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 6-2.