Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | 16 | 0 |
 Chiba Lotte Marines | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-4
The data suggests that Rakuten Gold. Eagles hold a slight edge over Chiba Lotte Marines, particularly considering their recent performance with 6 wins in their last 10 games. Contrastingly, Chiba Lotte Marines have a significant challenge on the road, highlighted by their 35% away win rate this season. Furthermore, the head-to-head history favors the Eagles, who have successfully defeated the Marines in 4 of their last 5 encounters.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles won 6 of their last 10 games, showing a stronger current form.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have struggled on the road with a 35% away win rate this season.
- In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, Rakuten Gold. Eagles lead with 4 wins against Chiba Lotte Marines.
Confidence is high because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rakuten Gold. Eagles
- Sharper attackRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles are averaging 3.5 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.5/game - Tighter defenseRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles are conceding just 4 runs per game over their recent matches.
4/game conceded - Historical edgeRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rakuten Gold. Eagles at 55% — final result was Rakuten Gold. Eagles win, Rakuten Gold. Eagles 5-2 Chiba Lotte Marines.
Predicted score was 5-4.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 3.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have averaged 3.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Chiba Lotte Marines.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | Chiba Lotte Marines |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.35▲ | 1.29▼ |
| -2 | 3.09▼ | 1.33▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.50▼ | 1.50 |
| -1 | 2.04▼ | 1.66▲ |
| -0.5 | 1.68▼ | 2.06▲ |
| +0.5 | 1.62▼ | 2.17▲ |
| +1 | 1.44▼ | 2.47▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.38▼ | 2.84▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.29▲ | 3.25▼ |
| 5.5 | 1.47▼ | 2.54▲ |
| 6 | 1.54▲ | 2.33▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.68▼ | 2.11▲ |
| 7 | 1.85▲ | 1.85 |
| 7.5 | 2.09▼ | 1.67▲ |
| 8 | 2.36 | 1.52 |
| 8.5 | 2.55▼ | 1.47 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Rakuten Gold. EaglesChiba Lotte MarinesRakuten Gold. EaglesChiba Lotte MarinesChiba Lotte MarinesRakuten Gold. EaglesChiba Lotte MarinesRakuten Gold. EaglesRakuten Gold. EaglesChiba Lotte MarinesLeague standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 117 | 67 | 50 | +71 | 57 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 119 | 63 | 56 | +25 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 118 | 54 | 64 | +7 | 46 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 117 | 52 | 65 | -75 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Hiroshima Carp | 114 | 47 | 67 | -78 | 41 | — |
| 6 |  Chunichi Dragons | 121 | 51 | 70 | -8 | 42 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 118 | 73 | 45 | +183 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 121 | 69 | 52 | +41 | 57 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 121 | 67 | 54 | +67 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 120 | 57 | 63 | -73 | 48 | — |
| 5 | Chiba Lotte Marines | 115 | 52 | 63 | -74 | 45 | — |
| 6 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 117 | 45 | 72 | -86 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Yakult SwallowsHanshin TigersRakuten Gold. EaglesOrix BuffaloesYomiuri GiantsYokohama BayStarsChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Our AI model favors Rakuten Gold. Eagles to win, with a 55% probability (Chiba Lotte Marines 45%).
What time does Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines start?+
First pitch is at Aug 19, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1. Chiba Lotte Marines: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2. Final: 5-2.