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RB Bragantino vs Gremio

Serie A· Regular Season - 24
RB Bragantino
1–0Full-time
Gremio
LLDDGoals 11-137th in league
LWWLGoals 16-1615th in league
Home6W 2D 4L(17-11)
Away0W 4D 8L(6-18)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 14'A. Sant'Anna
  2. 14'J. Herrera (Lucas Barbosa)
  3. 14'Goal Disallowed - video review — J. Herrera
  4. 26'Juninho Capixaba
  5. 45+3'E. Noriega
  6. 50'Tetê (Cristian Pavón)
  7. 65'Eric Ramires (Fabinho)
  8. 65'J. Herrera (H. Mosquera)
  9. 66'F. Amuzu (Jovane Cabral)
  10. 72'A. Sant'Anna
  11. 73'Lucas Barbosa (Eduardo Sasha)
  12. 77'Weverton
  13. 86'Wallace
  14. 87'Rodriguinho (Gustavo Neves)
  15. 87'Vinicinho (Yuri Alves)
  16. 88'Filip Krovinović (Carlos)
  17. 90+2'E. Noriega (Danilo)
  18. 90+5'Gustavo Marques (A. Sant'Anna)

Lineups

RB Bragantino
Gremio
4-2-3-14-1-4-1
18. Tiago Volpi
29
29. Juninho Capixaba
16
16. Gustavo Marques
14
14. Pedro Henrique
23
23. A. Sant'Anna
20
← 87'
20. Rodriguinho
7
← 65'
7. Eric Ramires
17
← 87'
17. Vinicinho
← 73'
21. Lucas Barbosa
32
← 65'
32. J. Herrera
9. Isidro Pitta
22
22. M. Braithwaite
9
← 66'
9. F. Amuzu
← 88'
10. Filip Krovinović
20
20. M. Villasanti
← 50'
21. Tetê
8
← 90+2'
8. E. Noriega
23. Marlon
3. Wagner Leonardo
82
82. Wallace
27
27. Diego Caito
1. Weverton
Vágner ManciniCoachLuis Castro
Bench (12)
Bench (12)
RB BragantinoGremio
1.1
Goals/game
1.6
1.3
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

RB Bragantino win
59%
Draw
24%
Gremio win
17%
56.7%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
23.5%RB Bragantino clean sheet
25.9%Gremio clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Statistical analysis suggests a closely contested match, with RB Bragantino displaying a slight upper hand historically against Gremio at home. However, both teams have struggled for form, which could lead to a low-scoring draw. Gremio's inability to secure away victories this season adds to the uncertainty, but their recent home performance shows potential resilience.

  • RB Bragantino unbeaten in last 3 home matches against Gremio
  • Gremio has yet to win an away match this season
  • RB Bragantino has a recent home scoring average of 1.1 goals per match
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
96/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors RB Bragantino

  • Poor recent formRB Bragantino

    RB Bragantino have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L
  • Good recent formGremio

    Gremio have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Strong home recordRB Bragantino

    RB Bragantino have won 6 of their last 12 home matches.

    6/12 home wins
  • Weak away recordGremio

    Gremio have won 0 of their last 12 away matches.

    0/12 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked RB Bragantino at 59% — final result was RB Bragantino win, RB Bragantino 1-0 Gremio.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (96/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

RB Bragantino ✓1.59market 62.7% · model 59%
Draw3.93market 25.5% · model 24%
Gremio5.48market 18.2% · model 17%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • RB Bragantino have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gremio have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4RB Bragantino wins
2Draws
2Gremio wins
10-9Goals
RB Bragantino
1–0Oct 4, 2025, 9:30 PM
Gremio
Gremio
1–1May 10, 2025, 9:30 PM
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
2–0Sep 15, 2023, 12:30 AM
Gremio
Gremio
3–3May 7, 2023, 9:30 PM
RB Bragantino
Gremio
3–0Nov 16, 2021, 9:00 PM
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
1–0Aug 1, 2021, 12:00 AM
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1–0Feb 26, 2021, 12:30 AM
Gremio
Gremio
2–1Nov 2, 2020, 11:00 PM
RB Bragantino

Odds comparison

Match winner

RB Bragantino1.59▼best 1.73
Draw3.93▲best 4.20
Gremio5.48▲best 6.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.85▼best 1.91
Under 2.51.93▲best 2.01

Both teams to score

Yes1.84▲best 1.91
No1.88▼best 1.95

Double chance

RB Bragantino/Draw1.14▼best 1.18
RB Bragantino/Gremio1.23▼best 1.25
Draw/Gremio2.28▲best 2.37

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.30▼best 2.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.56▲best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.15▼best 1.15
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.13▲best 5.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

RB Bragantino1.59▼ 0.13
Draw3.93▲ 0.34
Gremio5.48▲ 0.92
20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

RB Bragantino win+0.1pp
AI
59%
Market
58.9%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
24%
Market
23.9%
Gremio win-0.1pp
AI
17%
Market
17.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
RB Bragantino
231058+535DLDD
15
Gremio
236710-725LWDL

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.6
1.3Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

F. Fernandes de Lima

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

RB Bragantino

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

Gremio

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win RB Bragantino vs Gremio?+

Our AI model favors RB Bragantino to win, with a 59% probability (Draw 24%, Gremio 17%).

What time does RB Bragantino vs Gremio kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).