Real Espana vs Atletico Independiente — Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional· Apertura - 3

Real Espana

1–1Full-time

Atletico Independiente

DWLDWDGoals 17-112nd in league

WDGoals 3-28th in league

Home1W 1D 0L(3-1)

Away0W 1D 1L(1-2)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

41'M. Aceituno
45+5'J. Fiallos
46'M. Aceituno (N. Cruz)
46'J. Risuenho (S. Cruz)
47'N. Cruz
53'D. Cacho
65'L. Melendez (A. Cabrera)
65'F. J. Escoto Pineda (A. Cabrera)
65'F. J. Escoto Pineda (O. Cabrera)
67'A. Shuxratov
73'O. Cabrera
74'M. Arana (A. Garcia)
74'R. Osorto (D. Vuelto)
77'J. Benavidez
81'I. Martinez (E. Arias)
82'D. Cacho (E. Hernandez)
89'S. Espinoza (G. Martinez)
90+5'M. Rodríguez

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Real EspanaAtletico Independiente

1.7
Goals/game: 1.5; 1.1
Conceded/game: 1.0

AI match analysis

Real Espana win

65%

Draw

20%

Atletico Independiente win

15%

53.9%BTTS

49.4%Over 2.5

27.3%Real Espana clean sheet

25.9%Atletico Independiente clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests Real Espana has a strong advantage in this matchup, bolstered by their unbeaten home run and solid scoring average. Meanwhile, Atletico Independiente has struggled to perform away from home, which may hinder their chances. The numbers favor a home victory with a predicted scoreline estimating Real Espana to net 2 goals while conceding 1.

Real Espana unbeaten in their last 5 home games
Atletico Independiente yet to earn a point away this season
Real Espana has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 10 games

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

90/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Real Espana

Strong home recordReal Espana
Real Espana have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins
Weak away recordAtletico Independiente
Atletico Independiente have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins
Strong recent formAtletico Independiente
Atletico Independiente are unbeaten in their last 2 matches, including 1 win.
1W 1D 0L
Higher league positionReal Espana
Real Espana sit 6 places above Atletico Independiente in the table.
#2 vs #8

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Atletico Independiente has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Real Espana at 65% — final result was a draw, Real Espana 1-1 Atletico Independiente.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (90/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Match trends

Real Espana have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Atletico Independiente have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.