Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC
Match events
- 12'Z. Booth
- 15'Z. Booth (D. Marczuk)
- 32'J. Díaz
- 46'Kyle Duncan (Bongokuhle Hlongwane)
- 56'Lineker Rodrigues
- 60'Lineker Rodrigues (Saba Lobjanidze)
- 71'T. Chancalay (M. Gonzalez)
- 71'J. Díaz (Carlos Harvey)
- 71'M. Dieng (Kelvin Yeboah)
- 82'Sergi Solans (Diego Luna)
- 86'Diego Luna (A. Hezarkhani)
- 87'Sergi Solans (Victor Olatunji)
- 87'Wil Trapp (M. Caldeira)
- 89'J. Pereyra (M. Caldeira)
- 90+4'S. Spierings
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.8
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests a competitive match given the historical performances of both teams. Real Salt Lake's strong home record and current form, marked by recent victories, indicates a favorable position. Conversely, Minnesota United FC's away struggles and recent form of two draws and three losses may hinder their performance.
- Real Salt Lake has a strong home record with 7 wins in 8 matches this season.
- Minnesota United FC has struggled in recent away performances, with only 1 win in their last 5 away games.
- Historical head-to-head results show Minnesota United FC holding an edge over Real Salt Lake, winning 3 out of the last 5 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Real Salt Lake
- Strong home recordReal Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.
7/10 home wins - Strong away recordMinnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC have won 5 of their last 11 away matches.
5/11 away wins - Sharper attackReal Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Historical edgeMinnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC have won 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
2/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Real Salt Lake at 51.86% — final result was a draw, Real Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FC.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (89/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Real Salt Lake have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Minnesota United FC have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FCReal Salt LakeMinnesota United FCReal Salt LakeReal Salt LakeMinnesota United FCReal Salt LakeMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FCReal Salt LakeReal Salt LakeMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FCReal Salt LakeOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | +2 | 28 | LDDL |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 28 | LDDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. Vazquez
Based on 10 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?+
Our AI model favors Real Salt Lake to win, with a 51.86% probability (Draw 25.45%, Minnesota United FC 22.69%).
What time does Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).