Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale

J1 League· Regular Season - 3
WWWWGoals 24-74th in league
LDDWGoals 12-1214th in league
Home1W 1D 0L(4-1)
Away0W 2D 0L(2-2)
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima · Capacity 28,520 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 15'T. Shiotani
  2. 29'M. Kato (Shunki Higashi)
  3. 45+1'M. Kato

Lineups

Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
2.4
Goals/game
1.2
0.7
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
62%
Draw
21%
Kawasaki Frontale win
17%
51.2%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
38.7%Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet
16.5%Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Sanfrecce Hiroshima is in strong form, having won their last four matches with consistent scoring. Conversely, Kawasaki Frontale's recent performances show difficulty in scoring, with an average of only 0.9 goals in their last ten matches. Given these patterns and Sanfrecce's home advantage, they appear favored to secure a victory in this matchup.

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima won last 4 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game.
  • Kawasaki Frontale has drawn their last 2 matches and has struggled to score, averaging only 0.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a strong home advantage, winning their only home match played this season.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sanfrecce Hiroshima

  • Strong home recordSanfrecce Hiroshima

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.

    1/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordKawasaki Frontale

    Kawasaki Frontale have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Higher league positionSanfrecce Hiroshima

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 10 places above Kawasaki Frontale in the table.

    #4 vs #14
  • Strong recent formSanfrecce Hiroshima

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 62% — final result was a draw, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.53market 65.2% · model 62%
Draw4.37market 22.9% · model 21%
Kawasaki Frontale5.40market 18.5% · model 17%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Kawasaki Frontale have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins
2Draws
2Kawasaki Frontale wins
12-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.53best 1.67
Draw4.37best 4.81
Kawasaki Frontale5.40best 6.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.49best 1.62
Under 2.52.48best 2.66

Both teams to score

Yes1.58best 1.65
No2.23best 2.30

Double chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima/Draw1.14best 1.18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima/Kawasaki Frontale1.18best 1.22
Draw/Kawasaki Frontale2.45best 2.63

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08best 1.08
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.00best 8.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.53 0.12
Draw4.37 0.52
Kawasaki Frontale5.40 0.87
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win+0.8pp
AI
62%
Market
61.2%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
21%
Market
21.5%
Kawasaki Frontale win-0.4pp
AI
17%
Market
17.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3210+67DWW
14
Kawasaki Frontale
303003DDD

Pre-match comparison

2.4Goals scored per game1.2
0.7Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15'
18.2%
16-30'
9.1%
31-45'
18.2%
46-60'
9.1%
61-75'
18.2%
76-90+'
27.3%

Kawasaki Frontale

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
16.7%

More J1 League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?+

Our AI model favors Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 62% probability (Draw 21%, Kawasaki Frontale 17%).

Where is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale played?+

The match is played at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima (capacity 28,520).

What time does Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 10:15 AM (your local time, based on your device).