Santos vs Atletico Paranaense — Serie A

Serie A· Regular Season - 22

Santos

0–2Full-time

Atletico Paranaense

DDWDDLGoals 17-714th in league

LDWWDWGoals 14-73rd in league

Home5W 4D 4L(18-17)

Away5W 2D 5L(14-15)

Match events

14'Kevin Viveros
20'Adonis Frías
26'Kevin Viveros (Joao Cruz)
34'Kevin Viveros
46'G. Caballero (B. Rollheiser)
60'Gilberto Junior (Dantas)
60'Jádson (Felipinho)
60'Leozinho (Kerwin Calderón Vargas)
61'Christian Oliva (Rony)
71'Luiz Gustavo (Diogo Riquelme)
80'Gabriel Menino (Thaciano)
80'João Schmidt (Willian Arão)
85'Joao Cruz (Dudu Kogitzki)

Lineups

Santos

Atletico Paranaense

4-2-2-2

3-4-2-1

CucaCoach

Joao Correia

AI match analysis

Santos win

45%

Draw

29%

Atletico Paranaense win

26%

45.4%BTTS

39.1%Over 2.5

35%Santos clean sheet

30.1%Atletico Paranaense clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The analysis suggests a tightly contested match given both teams' recent forms, with Atletico Paranaense only suffering one loss in their last five matches while Santos has struggled with three losses in their last five. Additionally, Atletico Paranaense has a strong head-to-head record, winning their last matchup decisively. The statistics indicate a likely low-scoring game, with both teams averaging around one goal scored per game recently.

Atletico Paranaense unbeaten in last 5 matches
Santos has a negative goal difference in the league
Atletico Paranaense won the last encounter 3-0 against Santos

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Santos at 45% — final result was Atletico Paranaense win, Santos 0-2 Atletico Paranaense.

Predicted score was 1-1.

Closing odds vs. our model

Santos2.09market 47.8% · model 45%

Draw3.23market 31% · model 29%

Atletico Paranaense ✓3.63market 27.6% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Santos have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Atletico Paranaense have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Santos wins

2Draws

3Atletico Paranaense wins

8-9Goals

Atletico Paranaense

3–0Dec 3, 2023, 9:30 PM

Santos

1–1Aug 5, 2023, 7:00 PM

Atletico Paranaense

Santos

2–0Sep 28, 2022, 12:00 AM

Atletico Paranaense

2–2Jun 4, 2022, 10:00 PM

Santos

Atletico Paranaense

0–1Oct 30, 2021, 8:00 PM

Santos

0–1Sep 15, 2021, 12:30 AM

Atletico Paranaense

1–0Aug 25, 2021, 10:00 PM

Santos

2–1Jul 6, 2021, 10:30 PM

Atletico Paranaense

Odds comparison

Match winner

Santos2.09▲best 2.15

Draw3.23▲best 3.35

Atletico Paranaense3.63▼best 3.85

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.10▼best 2.18

Under 2.51.71best 1.76

Both teams to score

Yes1.84▼best 1.91

No1.88▼best 1.95

Double chance

Santos/Draw1.28▲best 1.30

Santos/Atletico Paranaense1.32best 1.36

Draw/Atletico Paranaense1.71▼best 1.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25▲best 1.25

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.58▲best 2.62

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.67▼best 3.75

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44▼best 1.45

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Santos2.09▲ 0.07

Draw3.23▲ 0.08

Atletico Paranaense3.63▼ 0.05

9 Aug – 9 Aug

Model vs market

Santos win+0.1pp

AI

45%

Market

44.9%

Draw-0.1pp

AI

29%

Market

29.1%

Atletico Paranaense win+0.1pp

AI

26%

Market

25.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
14	Santos	23	6	8	9	-3	26	DWLDL
3	Atletico Paranaense	24	13	5	6	+12	44	WDWDW

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.4

0.7Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Klein

4Yellow cards / game

0Red cards / game

0Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Santos

0-15'

0%

16-30'

0%

31-45'

12.5%

46-60'

25%

61-75'

25%

76-90+'

37.5%

Atletico Paranaense

0-15'

50%

16-30'

0%

31-45'

0%

46-60'

0%

61-75'

25%

76-90+'

25%

Match statistics

62%Possession38%

1.27Expected goals (xG)1.15

2Shots on target4

22Total shots8

10Shots off target1

10Blocked shots3

13Shots inside the box5

9Shots outside the box3

10Corners2

2Offsides2

12Fouls11

1Yellow cards1

—Red cards—

2Goalkeeper saves2

568Total passes351

494Accurate passes279

87%Pass accuracy79%

Player ratings

1Kevin ViverosAtletico Paranaense⚽ 2🟨8.2
2Arthur DiasAtletico Paranaense7.7
3João SchmidtSantos7.2
4Álvaro BarrealSantos7.2
5Gastón BenavídezAtletico Paranaense7.2
6Juan Felipe AguirreAtletico Paranaense7.2

Box score

Santos

77Gabriel BrazãoG · 96'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes9%

Tackles—

Duels—

25Gabriel MeninoD · 80'

7.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes46%

Tackles5

Duels—

98Adonis FríasD · 96'

🟨6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes61%

Tackles2

Duels—

26

26João Paulo AnaniasD · 96'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes60%

Tackles1

Duels—

31Gonzalo EscobarD · 96'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes63%

Tackles1

Duels—

28Christian OlivaM · 61'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes28%

Tackles—

Duels—

5

5João SchmidtM · 80'

7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes62%

Tackles3

Duels—

8

8Gabriel BontempoM · 96'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes43%

Tackles1

Duels—

17

17G. CaballeroF · 45'

6.3

More stats

Shots1/3 on target

Passes7%

Tackles—

Duels—

22Álvaro BarrealM · 96'

7.2

More stats

Shots0/3 on target

Passes36%

Tackles2

Duels—

9

9Gabriel (C)F · 96'

6.5

More stats

Shots1/4 on target

Passes21%

Tackles—

Duels—

Bench (12)

32

32B. RollheiserF · 51'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes35%

Tackles—

Duels—

1DiogenesG

—

42

42João AlencarD

—

14

14Luan PeresD

—

81

81Samuel MendesM

—

30

30MiguelitoM

—

27

27D. FernandesF

—

57NadsonF

—

16ThacianoM · 16'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes3%

Tackles—

Duels—

15Willian ArãoM · 16'

6.9

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes10%

Tackles—

Duels—

7

7Robinho JúniorF

—

11RonyF · 35'

6.6

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes10%

Tackles—

Duels—

Atletico Paranaense

1

1MycaelG · 96'

7.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes11%

Tackles—

Duels—

29

29Gastón BenavídezD · 96'

7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes32%

Tackles1

Duels—

33Juan Felipe AguirreD · 96'

7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes21%

Tackles—

Duels—

4

4Arthur DiasD · 96'

7.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes28%

Tackles—

Duels—

12

12Gilberto JuniorM · 61'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes24%

Tackles2

Duels—

16

16JádsonM · 60'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes26%

Tackles3

Duels—

14Luiz Gustavo (C)M · 71'

7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes34%

Tackles2

Duels—

8

8João CruzM · 85'

🅰️ 16.9

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes22%

Tackles2

Duels—

21

21LeozinhoF · 60'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes16%

Tackles1

Duels—

7

7S. MendozaM · 96'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes31%

Tackles—

Duels—

9Kevin ViverosF · 96'

⚽ 2🟨8.2

More stats

Shots4/4 on target

Passes2%

Tackles—

Duels—

8

8Joao Cruz—

—

Bench (15)

42Matheus SoaresG

—

25

25DantasD · 35'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes10%

Tackles—

Duels—

2

2Gilberto JuniorD

—

6Leonardo DerikD

—

3LéoD

—

10

10Bruno ZapelliM

—

53

53Dudu KogitzkiM · 11'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes2%

Tackles—

Duels—

63Diogo RiquelmeM · 25'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes4%

Tackles—

Duels—

18Kerwin Calderón VargasF · 36'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes9%

Tackles—

Duels—

5

5FelipinhoD · 36'

7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes7%

Tackles1

Duels—

19

19Jorge RivaldoF

—

70

70Renan PeixotoF

—

42

42Mateus Soares—

—

6

6Leo Derik—

—

2

2Gilberto Junior—

—

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Santos vs Atletico Paranaense?+

Our AI model favors Santos to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 29%, Atletico Paranaense 26%).

What time does Santos vs Atletico Paranaense kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).