Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | X | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seattle Mariners | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
 Chicago Cubs | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-4
The data suggests a closely contested matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Chicago Cubs, with both teams showing a trend of high runs allowed. The Mariners have averaged 6.9 runs conceded over their last 10 outings, while the Cubs have scored 4.3 runs in the same timeframe. Historically, Seattle has been more successful in their recent encounters with Chicago, which may contribute to a competitive game.
- Seattle Mariners averaging 6.9 runs conceded per game over their last 10 matches
- Chicago Cubs scoring 4.3 runs per game in their last 10 matches
- Seattle Mariners have a favorable recent head-to-head record against the Cubs, winning 3 of the last 5 games
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Seattle Mariners
- Poor recent formSeattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formChicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeSeattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 45% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Seattle Mariners at 44.74% — final result was Seattle Mariners win, Seattle Mariners 6-5 Chicago Cubs.
Predicted score was 4-4.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (53/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Seattle Mariners have averaged 3.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago Cubs have averaged 5.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seattle Mariners are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Chicago Cubs.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Seattle Mariners | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.65 | 1.26 |
| -2 | 3.75 | 1.22 |
| -1.5 | 2.76 | 1.42 |
| -1 | 2.34 | 1.57 |
| +1 | 1.66 | 2.19 |
| +1.5 | 1.52 | 2.51 |
| +2 | 1.38 | 3.01 |
| +2.5 | 1.31 | 3.32 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.33 | 3.07 |
| 6.5 | 1.46 | 2.63 |
| 7 | 1.57 | 2.34 |
| 7.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 8 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| 8.5 | 2.07 | 1.73 |
| 9 | 2.42 | 1.54 |
| 9.5 | 2.65 | 1.46 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Philadelphia PhilliesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs?+
Our AI model favors Seattle Mariners to win, with a 44.74% probability (Chicago Cubs 55.26%).
What time does Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:10 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs?+
Seattle Mariners: 0, 4, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0. Chicago Cubs: 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1. Final: 6-5.