New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

MLB
WLWLRuns 49-332nd in AL East Division · 75-57
WWWLRuns 54-393rd in AL East Division · 73-60
Home14W 6L(98-62)
Away9W 11L(79-77)
Kicks off in
Today
First pitch
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Final

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

New York Yankees win
62%
Boston Red Sox win
38%

Predicted score: 5-3

Data suggests that the New York Yankees have a strong home advantage, boasting a 70% win rate at home this season. Additionally, they have consistently defeated the Boston Red Sox in their last five meetings, indicating a psychological edge. The Yankees' recent form shows they score an average of 4.9 runs while allowing only 3.3, compared to the Red Sox's averages of 5.4 runs for and 3.9 against in their last 10 games. Given these factors, the analysis leans towards a Yankees victory.

  • Yankees have a 70% home win rate this season.
  • Red Sox have only a 45% away win rate this season.
  • Yankees have won the last 4 head-to-head matchups against the Red Sox.
  • Yankees' last 10 games average 4.9 runs scored, while the Red Sox average 5.4.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors New York Yankees

  • Strong home recordNew York Yankees

    New York Yankees have won 14 of their last 20 home matches.

    14/20 home wins
  • Strong away recordBoston Red Sox

    Boston Red Sox have won 9 of their last 20 away matches.

    9/20 away wins
  • Tighter defenseNew York Yankees

    New York Yankees are conceding just 3.3 runs per game over their recent matches.

    3.3/game conceded
  • Historical edgeNew York Yankees

    New York Yankees have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

Match trends

  • New York Yankees have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Boston Red Sox have averaged 5.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • New York Yankees are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Boston Red Sox.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3New York Yankees wins
2Boston Red Sox wins
18-15Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox?+

Our AI model favors New York Yankees to win, with a 62% probability (Boston Red Sox 38%).

What time does New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox start?+

First pitch is at Aug 29, 2026, 11:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).