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Seattle Sounders vs Austin

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 20
Seattle Sounders
1–2Full-time
Austin
WLLDGoals 16-1113th in league
WWLDGoals 12-1814th in league
Home4W 1D 4L(14-16)
Away1W 3D 7L(12-30)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 46'S. Gomez (S. Brunell)
  2. 48'K. Kossa-Rienzi
  3. 59'C. Fodrey (Guilherme Biro)
  4. 66'Facundo Torres (Z. Kolmanic)
  5. 69'Jackson Ragen (S. Hawkins)
  6. 71'P. Płacheta (M. Desler)
  7. 71'Jayden Nelson (E. Torres)
  8. 76'P. Kingston (Osaze De Rosario)
  9. 79'Z. Kolmanic (Mateja Đorđević)
  10. 79'Ilie Sánchez (Besard Sabović)
  11. 87'Guilherme Biro (B. Vazquez)
  12. 88'Nouhou Tolo (R. Jauregui)
  13. 90'S. Hawkins (A. Rusnák)

Lineups

Seattle Sounders
Austin
4-2-3-13-4-3
26. Andy Thomas
← 88'
5. Nouhou Tolo
← 69'
25. Jackson Ragen
20. Kee Hee Kim
85
85. K. Kossa-Rienzi
45
← 76'
45. P. Kingston
16
16. A. Roldan
14. Paul Rothrock
11
11. A. Rusnák
90
← 46'
90. S. Gomez
19. D. Musovski
19
← 59'
19. C. Fodrey
9. B. Vazquez
11. Facundo Torres
← 71'
7. Jayden Nelson
← 79'
6. Ilie Sánchez
24
24. J. Alastuey
77
← 71'
77. P. Płacheta
15. Jonathan Bell
4. Brendan Hines-Ike
← 79'
23. Z. Kolmanic
12
12. D. Las
B. SchmetzerCoach
Bench (9)
Bench (7)
Seattle SoundersAustin
1.6
Goals/game
1.2
1.1
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

Seattle Sounders win
52.78%
Draw
24.7%
Austin win
22.52%
55.9%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
31.7%Seattle Sounders clean sheet
18.3%Austin clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Seattle Sounders are struggling at the moment, having lost their last five matches. In contrast, Austin has not won any of their ten away games this season, which may contribute to an unfavorable outlook for them. Despite their recent form, Seattle has a strong historical record against Austin in their last five matchups, indicating a potential edge for the home side.

  • Seattle Sounders have lost their last 5 matches
  • Austin has not won any away games this season
  • Recent head-to-head shows Seattle has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Austin
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
90/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Seattle Sounders

  • Strong home recordSeattle Sounders

    Seattle Sounders have won 4 of their last 9 home matches.

    4/9 home wins
  • Weak away recordAustin

    Austin have won 1 of their last 11 away matches.

    1/11 away wins
  • Poor recent formSeattle Sounders

    Seattle Sounders have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Tighter defenseSeattle Sounders

    Seattle Sounders are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Seattle Sounders at 52.78% — final result was Austin win, Seattle Sounders 1-2 Austin.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (90/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Seattle Sounders1.78market 56.2% · model 52.78%
Draw3.85market 26% · model 24.7%
Austin ✓4.17market 24% · model 22.52%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Seattle Sounders have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Austin have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Seattle Sounders wins
2Draws
2Austin wins
11-6Goals
Austin
2–1Sep 21, 2025, 11:00 PM
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
2–0Jun 29, 2025, 2:30 AM
Austin
Austin
0–1Jul 14, 2024, 12:30 AM
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
0–0Mar 3, 2024, 3:30 AM
Austin
Austin
1–2Aug 31, 2023, 12:30 AM
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
1–2May 18, 2023, 2:30 AM
Austin
Seattle Sounders
3–0Sep 11, 2022, 12:00 AM
Austin
Austin
1–1Mar 20, 2022, 8:30 PM
Seattle Sounders

Odds comparison

Match winner

Seattle Sounders1.78▲best 1.83
Draw3.85▼best 4.00
Austin4.17▼best 4.45

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.66▲best 1.70
Under 2.52.17▼best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.61▲best 1.64
No2.19▼best 2.25

Double chance

Seattle Sounders/Draw1.21▲best 1.24
Seattle Sounders/Austin1.23▲best 1.26
Draw/Austin2.00▼best 2.06

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.13▲best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.25▼best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.38▲best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.81▼best 2.88

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Seattle Sounders1.78▲ 0.15
Draw3.85▼ 0.13
Austin4.17▼ 0.52
17 Aug – 20 Aug

Model vs market

Seattle Sounders win-0.1pp
AI
52.78%
Market
52.9%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
24.7%
Market
24.5%
Austin win-0.1pp
AI
22.52%
Market
22.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
Seattle Sounders
20749-525LLLL
14
Austin
215610-1421WLLL

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.2
1.1Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Chapman

2Yellow cards / game
0.5Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Seattle Sounders

0-15'
40%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
20%

Austin

0-15'
15.4%
16-30'
7.7%
31-45'
7.7%
46-60'
7.7%
61-75'
15.4%
76-90+'
46.2%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Seattle Sounders vs Austin?+

Our AI model favors Seattle Sounders to win, with a 52.78% probability (Draw 24.7%, Austin 22.52%).

What time does Seattle Sounders vs Austin kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).