Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 19
WLLDGoals 17-1113th in league
LLLWGoals 18-141st in league
Home4W 1D 4L(14-16)
Away4W 3D 2L(18-12)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'Jeevan Badwal (R. Elloumi)
  2. 36'Jesús Ferreira (S. Gomez)
  3. 57'Jackson Ragen
  4. 58'S. Brunell (A. Lopez)
  5. 58'Cheick Tidiane Sabaly (Ryan Gauld)
  6. 58'S. Brunell (Antino Lopez)
  7. 66'Ralph Priso (Tristan Blackmon)
  8. 73'Daniel Musovski (Osaze De Rosario)
  9. 73'K. Kossa-Rienzi (Kee Hee Kim)
  10. 76'Nouhou Tolo
  11. 77'R. Elloumi (E. Sabbi)
  12. 82'Thomas Müller (Oliver Larraz)
  13. 86'Paul Rothrock
  14. 86'Alex Roldán (C. Gaffney)
  15. 86'E. Sabbi (N. Djordjevic)

Lineups

Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps
1.7
Goals/game
1.8
1.1
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Seattle Sounders win
25.62%
Draw
24.83%
Vancouver Whitecaps win
49.54%
60.3%BTTS
57.7%Over 2.5
23.5%Seattle Sounders clean sheet
21.2%Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Vancouver Whitecaps are in a stronger position, currently ranking second with a solid away record. Meanwhile, Seattle Sounders are struggling with five consecutive losses and have only managed four wins at home this season. The historical head-to-head results also favor Vancouver, indicating they may continue their dominant run. Overall, the stats favor an away win.

  • Vancouver Whitecaps rank 2 and are in playoff contention
  • Seattle Sounders have lost their last 5 matches
  • Vancouver Whitecaps have a superior away record this season
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches show Vancouver Whitecaps have 3 victories against Seattle Sounders
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
87/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Vancouver Whitecaps

  • Higher league positionVancouver Whitecaps

    Vancouver Whitecaps sit 12 places above Seattle Sounders in the table.

    #1 vs #13
  • Poor recent formSeattle Sounders

    Seattle Sounders have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Poor recent formVancouver Whitecaps

    Vancouver Whitecaps have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Strong home recordSeattle Sounders

    Seattle Sounders have won 4 of their last 9 home matches.

    4/9 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Vancouver Whitecaps at 49.54% — final result was Vancouver Whitecaps win, Seattle Sounders 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Vancouver Whitecaps1.88market 53.3% · model 49.54%
Seattle Sounders3.71market 26.9% · model 25.62%
Draw3.84market 26.1% · model 24.83%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Seattle Sounders have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Seattle Sounders wins
3Draws
3Vancouver Whitecaps wins
9-12Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Seattle Sounders3.71best 3.90
Draw3.84best 4.15
Vancouver Whitecaps1.88best 1.96

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.56best 1.62
Under 2.52.37best 2.50

Both teams to score

Yes1.50best 1.53
No2.41best 2.55

Double chance

Seattle Sounders/Draw1.89best 1.95
Seattle Sounders/Vancouver Whitecaps1.23best 1.26
Draw/Vancouver Whitecaps1.25best 1.30

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.33best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.25best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.13best 1.14

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Seattle Sounders3.71 0.26
Draw3.84 0.12
Vancouver Whitecaps1.88 0.06
14 Aug17 Aug

Model vs market

Seattle Sounders win+0.3pp
AI
25.62%
Market
25.3%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
24.83%
Market
24.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps win-0.6pp
AI
49.54%
Market
50.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
Seattle Sounders
20749-525LLLL
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
201244+2740LWDD

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.8
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Villarreal

4Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.25Penalties scored / game

Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Seattle Sounders

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
33.3%

Vancouver Whitecaps

0-15'
7.7%
16-30'
7.7%
31-45'
15.4%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
15.4%
76-90+'
53.8%

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps?+

Our AI model favors Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 49.54% probability (Draw 24.83%, Seattle Sounders 25.62%).

What time does Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 2:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).