Sharks vs Lions
Jonsson Kings Park Stadium
Value found
+20.6% edgeLions win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by half
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 Sharks | 5 | 17 | 22 |
 Lions | 10 | 12 | 22 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 14-35
Data suggests that the Sharks are struggling with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches, leading to a lower probability of winning at home. Conversely, the Lions have exhibited much stronger form, posting an impressive average of 36.5 points scored in their last 10 games, which indicates their offensive strength. Given the head-to-head history and current form, the numbers favor an away win for the Lions.
- Sharks have lost 8 of their last 10 matches, significantly impacting their form.
- Lions have scored an average of 36.5 points in their last 10 matches, showcasing strong attacking capability.
- In their last 5 head-to-head matches, Lions have outscored Sharks by a large margin, particularly a recent 46-5 win.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Lions
- Sharper attackLions
Lions are averaging 36.2 points scored per game over their recent matches.
36.2/game - Tighter defenseLions
Lions are conceding just 25.3 points per game over their recent matches.
25.3/game conceded - Poor recent formLions
Lions have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Strong home recordSharks
Sharks have won 16 of their last 20 home matches.
16/20 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Lions at 68% — final result was a draw, Sharks 22-22 Lions.
Predicted score was 14-35.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sharks have averaged 19.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Lions have averaged 36.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sharks are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Lions.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Points spread
| Line | Sharks | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.23▲ | 1.59▼ |
| +0.5 | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| +1 | 1.95▲ | 1.83▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.89▲ | 1.82▼ |
| +2 | 1.87▲ | 1.92▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.81▲ | 1.87▼ |
| +3.5 | 1.72▲ | 2.01▼ |
| +4.5 | 1.65▲ | 2.09▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5 | 1.75▲ | 1.94▼ |
| 54.5 | 1.88▲ | 1.83▼ |
| 55 | 1.81 | 1.94 |
| 55.5 | 1.93▲ | 1.80▼ |
| 56 | 1.92 | 1.82 |
| 56.5 | 1.96▲ | 1.78▼ |
| 57 | 1.81 | 1.93 |
| 58 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
Average price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
More Currie Cup predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sharks vs Lions?+
Our AI model favors Lions to win, with a 68% probability (Sharks 27%).
What time does Sharks vs Lions kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 5:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by half in Sharks vs Lions?+
Sharks: 5-17. Lions: 10-12. Final: 22-22.