Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka · Capacity 20,339 · grass
Match events
- 52'Ryo Germain
- 73'Kosuke Kinoshita (Kei Koizumi)
- 74'Tomoya Fujii (Capixaba)
- 79'T. Inoue (T. Kondo)
- 82'T. Kondo (Ryo Miyaichi)
- 82'K. Matsumura (T. Kida)
- 83'K. Tanimura (R. Nitta)
- 84'Dieguinho (Kazuki Kozuka)
- 87'K. Kitagawa (K. Matsuzaki)
- 87'Yudai Shimamoto (K. Chiba)
- 90+5'K. Chinen (R. Yamane)
Lineups
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Yokohama F. Marinos have a favorable recent history against Shimizu S-pulse, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters. The home team has struggled with scoring, averaging only 0.8 goals per match recently, while the away team boasts a higher scoring average of 1.9 goals. This analysis supports a predicted scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Yokohama F. Marinos.
- Yokohama F. Marinos unbeaten in last 5 head-to-head matches against Shimizu S-pulse
- Shimizu S-pulse averages 0.8 goals scored per game over last 10 matches
- Yokohama F. Marinos scored 1.9 goals per game in last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Shimizu S-pulse
- Strong recent formYokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Sharper attackYokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game - Historical edgeYokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionYokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos sit 10 places above Shimizu S-pulse in the table.
#5 vs #15
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Shimizu S-pulse at 38% — final result was Yokohama F. Marinos win, Shimizu S-pulse 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Shimizu S-pulse have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yokohama F. Marinos have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulseYokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulseYokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulseYokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulseYokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulseOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
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FC TokyoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?+
Our AI model favors Shimizu S-pulse to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 29%, Yokohama F. Marinos 33%).
Where is Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?+
The match is played at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka (capacity 20,339).
What time does Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 9:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).