Sligo Rovers vs Waterford

Premier Division· Regular Season - 28
Sligo Rovers
00Full-time
Waterford
LDWWGoals 13-810th in league
DWWWGoals 15-138th in league
Home3W 5D 6L(14-22)
Away2W 4D 8L(18-32)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Lineups

Sligo RoversWaterford
1.3
Goals/game
1.5
0.8
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Sligo Rovers win
32%
Draw
26%
Waterford win
42%
49.7%BTTS
44.3%Over 2.5
31.7%Sligo Rovers clean sheet
27.3%Waterford clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Current data suggests that Waterford enters this match in better form, going unbeaten in their last four fixtures, while Sligo Rovers has struggled significantly, recording only one draw in their last five outings. Historically, Sligo has performed well against Waterford, but given the present trends, where Sligo has a high number of goals conceded, the numbers favor Waterford to secure a victory on the road.

  • Waterford unbeaten in last 4 matches
  • Sligo Rovers in poor form with 1 draw and 4 losses in last 5
  • Recent head-to-head shows Sligo Rovers historically strong against Waterford
  • Waterford has a superior scoring average over the last 10 matches compared to Sligo Rovers.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Waterford

  • Strong recent formWaterford

    Waterford are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Tighter defenseSligo Rovers

    Sligo Rovers are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Historical edgeSligo Rovers

    Sligo Rovers have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Weak home recordSligo Rovers

    Sligo Rovers have won 3 of their last 14 home matches.

    3/14 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Waterford at 42% — final result was a draw, Sligo Rovers 0-0 Waterford.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Waterford2.29market 43.7% · model 42%
Sligo Rovers2.82market 35.4% · model 32%
Draw3.43market 29.1% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sligo Rovers have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Waterford have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Sligo Rovers wins
1Draws
2Waterford wins
15-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sligo Rovers2.82best 2.94
Draw3.43best 3.70
Waterford2.29best 2.38

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.68best 1.73
Under 2.52.11best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.54best 1.57
No2.29best 2.40

Double chance

Sligo Rovers/Draw1.56best 1.62
Sligo Rovers/Waterford1.28best 1.30
Draw/Waterford1.38best 1.42

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.18best 1.18

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sligo Rovers2.82 0.08
Draw3.43 0.08
Waterford2.29 0.06
18 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Sligo Rovers win-0.7pp
AI
32%
Market
32.7%
Draw-0.9pp
AI
26%
Market
26.9%
Waterford win+1.6pp
AI
42%
Market
40.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
10
Sligo Rovers
285815-2223LDDL
8
Waterford
2861111-1129WWDD

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.5
0.8Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Sligo Rovers

0-15'
25%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Waterford

0-15'
0%
16-30'
40%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Premier Division predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sligo Rovers vs Waterford?+

Our AI model favors Waterford to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 26%, Sligo Rovers 32%).

What time does Sligo Rovers vs Waterford kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).