Southampton vs Millwall

Championship· Regular Season - 3
WLWLGoals 17-1524th in league
WWWWGoals 15-51st in league
Home1W 0D 0L(3-1)
Away1W 0D 0L(2-0)
Kicks off in

Kickoff: Aug 29, 2026, 3:00 PM (stadium time)

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
SouthamptonMillwall
1.7
Goals/game
1.5
1.5
Conceded/game
0.5

AI match analysis

Southampton win
48%
Draw
26%
Millwall win
26%
51.8%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
22.3%Southampton clean sheet
33.3%Millwall clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a competitive matchup where Millwall's recent form gives them an edge, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters against Southampton. While Southampton has shown some strength at home, their recent struggles indicate potential vulnerabilities, leading to a predicted draw.

  • Millwall unbeaten in last 5 head-to-head matches against Southampton
  • Southampton has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Millwall has a strong away performance with 1-0 win against Cambridge United
  • Southampton scored 1.7 goals and conceded 1.5 on average in their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
85/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Southampton

  • Higher league positionMillwall

    Millwall sit 23 places above Southampton in the table.

    #1 vs #24
  • Tighter defenseMillwall

    Millwall are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.5/game conceded
  • Good recent formSouthampton

    Southampton have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formMillwall

    Millwall have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

Match trends

  • Southampton have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Southampton wins
2Draws
3Millwall wins
12-11Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Southampton1.97best 2.00
Draw3.54best 3.73
Millwall3.63best 3.79

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.80best 1.83
Under 2.52.00best 2.08

Both teams to score

Yes1.66best 1.70
No2.12best 2.20

Double chance

Southampton/Draw1.26best 1.30
Southampton/Millwall1.27best 1.30
Draw/Millwall1.80best 1.85

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.88best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.38best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.18
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Southampton1.97 0.13
Draw3.54 0.01
Millwall3.63 0.47
26 Aug29 Aug

Model vs market

Southampton win+0.4pp
AI
48%
Market
47.6%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
26%
Market
26.5%
Millwall win+0.2pp
AI
26%
Market
25.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
24
Southampton
2101+10WL
1
Millwall
2200+56WW

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.5
1.5Goals conceded per game0.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Herczeg

2.57Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Southampton

0-15'
40%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

Millwall

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
16.7%

More Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Southampton vs Millwall?+

Our AI model favors Southampton to win, with a 48% probability (Draw 26%, Millwall 26%).

What time does Southampton vs Millwall kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).