Watford vs West Ham

Championship· Regular Season - 3
Watford
Live 22'101st Half
West Ham
WWDLGoals 7-248th in league
WDLWGoals 16-1417th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(2-1)
Away0W 1D 0L(2-2)
Vicarage Road

Vicarage Road, Watford · Capacity 22,200 · grass · Referee: R. Madley

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 7'Edoardo Bove
  2. 19'Amin Nabizada
Lineups unavailable for this match.
WatfordWest Ham
0.7
Goals/game
1.6
2.4
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Watford win
21%
Draw
24%
West Ham win
55%
56.2%BTTS
58.8%Over 2.5
13.5%Watford clean sheet
35%West Ham clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Historically, West Ham has dominated the recent encounters with Watford, winning their last five meetings. Watford's struggles in scoring, averaging only 0.7 goals per game in the last ten matches, suggest they may find it challenging against a West Ham side that has a higher scoring average. The data indicates that West Ham, despite their current league standing, may be favored to secure an away victory.

  • West Ham unbeaten in last 5 meetings against Watford
  • Watford averages 0.7 goals scored per game in the last 10 matches
  • West Ham has a stronger recent goal-scoring average at 1.6 goals per game
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
93/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors West Ham

  • Strong home recordWatford

    Watford have won 1 of their last 1 home matches.

    1/1 home wins
  • Weak away recordWest Ham

    West Ham have won 0 of their last 1 away matches.

    0/1 away wins
  • Historical edgeWest Ham

    West Ham have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    6/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionWatford

    Watford sit 9 places above West Ham in the table.

    #8 vs #17

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

Match trends

  • Watford have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • West Ham have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Watford wins
0Draws
6West Ham wins
8-17Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Watford4.19best 4.60
Draw3.83best 4.02
West Ham1.77best 1.85

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.62best 1.65
Under 2.52.27best 2.35

Both teams to score

Yes1.57best 1.60
No2.29best 2.38

Double chance

Watford/Draw1.98best 2.15
Watford/West Ham1.23best 1.25
Draw/West Ham1.22best 1.25

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.25best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.13best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.35best 1.36

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Watford4.19 0.54
Draw3.83 0.21
West Ham1.77 0.12
26 Aug29 Aug

Model vs market

Watford win-1.5pp
AI
21%
Market
22.5%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
24%
Market
24.5%
West Ham win+2pp
AI
55%
Market
53%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Watford
2110+14DW
17
West Ham
2011-11LD

Pre-match comparison

0.7Goals scored per game1.6
2.4Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Madley

4.07Yellow cards / game
0.2Red cards / game
0.33Penalties scored / game

Based on 15 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Watford

0-15'
50%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

West Ham

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
16.7%

More Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Watford vs West Ham?+

Our AI model favors West Ham to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 24%, Watford 21%).

Where is Watford vs West Ham played?+

The match is played at Vicarage Road, Watford (capacity 22,200).

What time does Watford vs West Ham kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).