Spaeri vs Samgurali
Match events
- 1'D. Krasovski (J. Carlos)
- 11'L. Kokhreidze (G. Samkharadze)
- 20'L. Gilmore
- 37'Claudio Cebolinha
- 42'T. Askurava (L. Kokhreidze)
- 45+1'G. Tsetskhladze (L. Kokhreidze)
- 46'L. Gilmore (I. Bidzinashvili)
- 46'L. Shergelashvili (G. Gogia)
- 46'B. Jibril (N. Chagunava)
- 52'Claudio Cebolinha (D. Krasovski)
- 62'T. Gaprindashvili (N. Tsetskhladze)
- 62'G. Tsetskhladze (Z. Basilashvili)
- 62'D. Krasovski (I. Siradze)
- 69'I. Bidzinashvili
- 70'I. Siradze
- 77'G. Tsirdava
- 78'N. Chagunava (Z. Golubiani)
- 78'Claudio Cebolinha (Ryan)
- 86'S. Gegiadze (R. Injgia)
- 86'T. Askurava (T. Tsalughelashvili)
- 87'M. Shatirishvili
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a closely contested match, with both teams struggling for consistency in recent outings. Spaeri remains winless in their last five games, while Samgurali has recorded two wins in their last five. Both teams have similar scoring averages, hinting at a possible draw scenario.
- Spaeri has not won in their last 5 matches.
- Samgurali has a slightly better recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 games.
- Both teams have similar average goals conceded, with Spaeri at 1.63 and Samgurali at 1.9 per game.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Spaeri
- Poor recent formSpaeri
Spaeri have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Poor recent formSamgurali
Samgurali have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Weak home recordSpaeri
Spaeri have won 3 of their last 11 home matches.
3/11 home wins - Weak away recordSamgurali
Samgurali have won 4 of their last 12 away matches.
4/12 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 35% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Spaeri at 35% — final result was Samgurali win, Spaeri 3-4 Samgurali.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Spaeri have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 8 matches.
- Samgurali have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 8 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Spaeri
Samgurali
More Erovnuli Liga predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Spaeri vs Samgurali?+
Our AI model favors Spaeri to win, with a 35% probability (Draw 30%, Samgurali 35%).
What time does Spaeri vs Samgurali kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).