Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam · Capacity 11,026 · artificial turf · Referee: D. Higler
Match events
- 16'Matisse Didden (Y. Cathline)
- 45'M. Young (Bas Kuipers)
- 46'A. Stepanov (N. Vesterlund)
- 63'Bruno Martins Indi (Mitchell van Bergen)
- 63'Nökkvi Þórisson (M. Zonneveld)
- 63'A. Alarcon (Kevin Paredes)
- 67'M. Zonneveld (S. Mito)
- 73'N. Ogidi Nwankwo (Per Kloosterboer)
- 73'Y. Cathline (Adrian Blake)
- 73'A. Stepanov (D. Min)
- 76'Adrian Blake
- 78'S. Horemans (G. Offerhaus)
- 79'M. Young (T. Quintero)
- 80'R. van Cruijsen (Joel Ideho)
- 86'Julian Baas (Casper Terho)
- 90+6'Nick Verschuren (Joel Ideho)
Lineups
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 0.7
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 2.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Sparta Rotterdam holds a slight edge going into this matchup, considering they have scored more goals on average than Utrecht, who has struggled defensively this season. Historically, Sparta has often been competitive against Utrecht, with recent matches showing a mix of outcomes. However, with Utrecht's recent form of five consecutive losses and high goals conceded ratio, Sparta's chances of securing a home victory appear favorable.
- Sparta Rotterdam has a better goal difference than Utrecht this season
- Utrecht is on a five-match losing streak
- Sparta Rotterdam scored an average of 1.7 goals in their last ten matches
- Utrecht conceded an average of 2.1 goals per match in their last ten games.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sparta Rotterdam
- Poor recent formUtrecht
Utrecht have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L - Sharper attackSparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game - Tighter defenseSparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded - Historical edgeUtrecht
Utrecht have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sparta Rotterdam at 37% — final result was a draw, Sparta Rotterdam 3-3 Utrecht.
Predicted score was 2-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sparta Rotterdam have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Utrecht have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Utrecht
Sparta RotterdamSparta RotterdamUtrechtUtrechtSparta RotterdamUtrechtSparta RotterdamSparta RotterdamUtrechtSparta RotterdamUtrechtUtrechtSparta RotterdamSparta RotterdamUtrechtOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 15 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
D. Higler
Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
More Eredivisie predictions
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
NEC NijmegenFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?+
Our AI model favors Sparta Rotterdam to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 27%, Utrecht 36%).
Where is Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht played?+
The match is played at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam (capacity 11,026).
What time does Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 4:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).